Official meteorological stations in São Paulo recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on June 11, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for that outcome. Winter conditions in the region typically feature highs near 21–22°C under stable high-pressure systems, with limited diurnal variability and minimal influence from transient cold fronts or Atlantic moisture. This alignment with climatological norms and direct observational data from authoritative sources underpins the overwhelming trader consensus. Only revisions to station readings, disputes over measurement protocols, or post hoc quality-control adjustments would realistically alter the resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 11 de junho?
20°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,006 Vol.
$54,006 Vol.
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Sim
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
20°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,006 Vol.
$54,006 Vol.
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Sim
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official meteorological stations in São Paulo recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on June 11, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for that outcome. Winter conditions in the region typically feature highs near 21–22°C under stable high-pressure systems, with limited diurnal variability and minimal influence from transient cold fronts or Atlantic moisture. This alignment with climatological norms and direct observational data from authoritative sources underpins the overwhelming trader consensus. Only revisions to station readings, disputes over measurement protocols, or post hoc quality-control adjustments would realistically alter the resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions