Recent observational data and short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul on track for a daytime maximum of 25°C under clear skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology, where typical high-pressure dominance and modest solar heating produce highs in the mid-20s Celsius without strong warm-air advection. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these stable conditions, with minimal probability assigned to outliers because ensemble guidance shows little spread around the 25°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official station readings through the afternoon peak; a localized sea-breeze shift or brief cloud increase could trim the high by 1°C, while any unexpected strengthening of southerly winds would be required to push temperatures higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 17 de maio?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$233,856 Vol.
$233,856 Vol.
17 mai 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$233,856 Vol.
$233,856 Vol.
17 mai 2026
16°C or below
$7,794 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,507 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$9,963 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$10,880 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15,133 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$23,284 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$29,219 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$28,295 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$24,129 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$26,997 Vol.
100%
26°C or higher
$51,708 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data and short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul on track for a daytime maximum of 25°C under clear skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology, where typical high-pressure dominance and modest solar heating produce highs in the mid-20s Celsius without strong warm-air advection. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these stable conditions, with minimal probability assigned to outliers because ensemble guidance shows little spread around the 25°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official station readings through the afternoon peak; a localized sea-breeze shift or brief cloud increase could trim the high by 1°C, while any unexpected strengthening of southerly winds would be required to push temperatures higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$233,856Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observational data and short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul on track for a daytime maximum of 25°C under clear skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology, where typical high-pressure dominance and modest solar heating produce highs in the mid-20s Celsius without strong warm-air advection. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these stable conditions, with minimal probability assigned to outliers because ensemble guidance shows little spread around the 25°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official station readings through the afternoon peak; a localized sea-breeze shift or brief cloud increase could trim the high by 1°C, while any unexpected strengthening of southerly winds would be required to push temperatures higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$233,856Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent observational data and short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul on track for a daytime maximum of 25°C under clear skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology, where typical high-pressure dominance and modest solar heating produce highs in the mid-20s Celsius without strong warm-air advection. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these stable conditions, with minimal probability assigned to outliers because ensemble guidance shows little spread around the 25°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official station readings through the afternoon peak; a localized sea-breeze shift or brief cloud increase could trim the high by 1°C, while any unexpected strengthening of southerly winds would be required to push temperatures higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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