Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 14 de maio?
11°C 100.0%
4°C ou menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$153,714 Vol.
$153,714 Vol.
4°C ou menos
Não
5°C
Não
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Sim
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C ou mais
Não
11°C 100.0%
4°C ou menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$153,714 Vol.
$153,714 Vol.
4°C ou menos
Não
5°C
Não
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Sim
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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