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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Kentucky

icon for Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Kentucky
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Kentucky

Charles Booker 84%

Amy McGrath 12%

Pamela Stevenson 1.0%

Dale Romans 1.0%

Polymarket

$38,439 Vol.

Charles Booker 84%

Amy McGrath 12%

Pamela Stevenson 1.0%

Dale Romans 1.0%

Polymarket

$38,439 Vol.

Charles Booker

$12,536 Vol.

84%

Amy McGrath

$6,395 Vol.

12%

Pamela Stevenson

$3,427 Vol.

1%

Dale Romans

$3,040 Vol.

1%

Jared Randall

$5,466 Vol.

1%

Joel Willett

$2,138 Vol.

1%

Logan Forsythe

$3,157 Vol.

<1%

Vincent Thompson

$2,281 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Charles Booker's 84% implied probability as Kentucky Democratic Senate primary winner stems from his sustained polling lead, including an 18-point edge in the April Emerson College/FOX56 survey and a 34.5% average on RealClearPolling ahead of the May 19 vote. Recent endorsements, such as Our Revolution on May 11 bolstering his grassroots appeal emphasizing economic justice and Medicare for All, have solidified trader consensus on his momentum from the 2020 near-upset of Amy McGrath and 2022 nomination. McGrath's 11.5% reflects her name recognition from the 2020 general election run and Herald-Leader backing, but trailing polls limit upside. Fragmented fields keep others under 2%, with low-turnout primary dynamics favoring Booker's base mobilization.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$38,439
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Charles Booker's 84% implied probability as Kentucky Democratic Senate primary winner stems from his sustained polling lead, including an 18-point edge in the April Emerson College/FOX56 survey and a 34.5% average on RealClearPolling ahead of the May 19 vote. Recent endorsements, such as Our Revolution on May 11 bolstering his grassroots appeal emphasizing economic justice and Medicare for All, have solidified trader consensus on his momentum from the 2020 near-upset of Amy McGrath and 2022 nomination. McGrath's 11.5% reflects her name recognition from the 2020 general election run and Herald-Leader backing, but trailing polls limit upside. Fragmented fields keep others under 2%, with low-turnout primary dynamics favoring Booker's base mobilization.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$38,439
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Kentucky" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Charles Booker" at 84%, followed by "Amy McGrath" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Kentucky" has generated $38.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Kentucky," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Kentucky" is "Charles Booker" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Amy McGrath" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Kentucky" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.