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icon for Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

<5 98.8%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$18,185 Vol.

<5 98.8%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$18,185 Vol.

<5

$3,645 Vol.

Yes

5-9

$1,262 Vol.

No

10-14

$1,510 Vol.

No

15-19

$1,707 Vol.

No

20-24

$1,246 Vol.

No

25-29

$1,220 Vol.

No

30-34

$752 Vol.

No

35-39

$953 Vol.

No

40-44

$1,633 Vol.

No

45-49

$1,638 Vol.

No

50-54

$964 Vol.

No

55-59

$730 Vol.

No

60+

$925 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The dominant trader consensus for under five posts by the relevant Khamenei account during June 5–12, 2026, reflects the established low frequency of activity on official channels tied to the late Ali Khamenei and his successor Mojtaba Khamenei. Following Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike and Mojtaba’s subsequent election by the Assembly of Experts, the primary verified accounts have continued patterns of infrequent updates, often limited to occasional reposts of prior statements or targeted announcements such as condolences. Recent activity in the window aligns with this baseline, featuring only a handful of items, including isolated historical quotes and a cluster of messages on one religious figure’s passing. This positioning draws from consistent institutional communication norms rather than high-volume engagement. A shift above five posts would require an unusual cluster of events, such as multiple high-profile deaths prompting separate statements, a major policy directive, or escalation in regional tensions eliciting repeated responses within the narrow resolution period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$18,185
Data de Término
12 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The dominant trader consensus for under five posts by the relevant Khamenei account during June 5–12, 2026, reflects the established low frequency of activity on official channels tied to the late Ali Khamenei and his successor Mojtaba Khamenei. Following Ali Khamenei’s assassination in a February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike and Mojtaba’s subsequent election by the Assembly of Experts, the primary verified accounts have continued patterns of infrequent updates, often limited to occasional reposts of prior statements or targeted announcements such as condolences. Recent activity in the window aligns with this baseline, featuring only a handful of items, including isolated historical quotes and a cluster of messages on one religious figure’s passing. This positioning draws from consistent institutional communication norms rather than high-volume engagement. A shift above five posts would require an unusual cluster of events, such as multiple high-profile deaths prompting separate statements, a major policy directive, or escalation in regional tensions eliciting repeated responses within the narrow resolution period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$18,185
Data de Término
12 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 100%, followed by "5-9" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?" has generated $18.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?" is "<5" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.