**Meteorological model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration strongly supports a minimum of 20°C in Shanghai on June 14, with ensemble runs showing limited spread around this value amid stable early-summer subtropical high pressure and typical monsoon moisture.** Mid-June climatology places average overnight lows near 20–22°C, and current conditions lack significant cold-air advection or radiative cooling enhancements that could drive readings lower. High confidence in the 20°C outcome reflects real-time surface observations, satellite data, and short-range forecasts converging on this threshold by the daily minimum period. Rare deviations below 19°C would require an unforecasted frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, scenarios assigned low probability given the persistent warm-sector environment and model agreement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 14 de junho?
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
$59,499 Vol.
$59,499 Vol.
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
$59,499 Vol.
$59,499 Vol.
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Meteorological model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration strongly supports a minimum of 20°C in Shanghai on June 14, with ensemble runs showing limited spread around this value amid stable early-summer subtropical high pressure and typical monsoon moisture.** Mid-June climatology places average overnight lows near 20–22°C, and current conditions lack significant cold-air advection or radiative cooling enhancements that could drive readings lower. High confidence in the 20°C outcome reflects real-time surface observations, satellite data, and short-range forecasts converging on this threshold by the daily minimum period. Rare deviations below 19°C would require an unforecasted frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, scenarios assigned low probability given the persistent warm-sector environment and model agreement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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