Traders see nearly equal odds for a 22–25°C low in Tel Aviv today because forecast models show only minor differences in overnight conditions. Key variables include the extent of cloud cover, which reduces radiative cooling under clear skies, and wind speeds off the Mediterranean that limit how much the boundary layer cools. Higher humidity or a stronger urban heat island effect can also keep readings closer to 24–25°C. Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble outputs currently cluster in this narrow range, consistent with typical early-autumn synoptic patterns. Fresh model runs and real-time observations later today will likely narrow the spread in market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tel Aviv em 17 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tel Aviv em 17 de setembro?
22°C 92%
24°C 49%
25°C 48%
20°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
18%
21°C
<1%
22°C
92%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
48%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
22°C 92%
24°C 49%
25°C 48%
20°C 18%
NOVO
NOVO
17 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$41 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$148 Vol.
92%
23°C
$10 Vol.
49%
24°C
$9 Vol.
49%
25°C
$14 Vol.
48%
26°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou mais
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly equal odds for a 22–25°C low in Tel Aviv today because forecast models show only minor differences in overnight conditions. Key variables include the extent of cloud cover, which reduces radiative cooling under clear skies, and wind speeds off the Mediterranean that limit how much the boundary layer cools. Higher humidity or a stronger urban heat island effect can also keep readings closer to 24–25°C. Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble outputs currently cluster in this narrow range, consistent with typical early-autumn synoptic patterns. Fresh model runs and real-time observations later today will likely narrow the spread in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$646Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly equal odds for a 22–25°C low in Tel Aviv today because forecast models show only minor differences in overnight conditions. Key variables include the extent of cloud cover, which reduces radiative cooling under clear skies, and wind speeds off the Mediterranean that limit how much the boundary layer cools. Higher humidity or a stronger urban heat island effect can also keep readings closer to 24–25°C. Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble outputs currently cluster in this narrow range, consistent with typical early-autumn synoptic patterns. Fresh model runs and real-time observations later today will likely narrow the spread in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$646Data de Término
17 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly equal odds for a 22–25°C low in Tel Aviv today because forecast models show only minor differences in overnight conditions. Key variables include the extent of cloud cover, which reduces radiative cooling under clear skies, and wind speeds off the Mediterranean that limit how much the boundary layer cools. Higher humidity or a stronger urban heat island effect can also keep readings closer to 24–25°C. Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble outputs currently cluster in this narrow range, consistent with typical early-autumn synoptic patterns. Fresh model runs and real-time observations later today will likely narrow the spread in market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions