US federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging Nicolás Maduro and co-defendants with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses after a US military operation captured him in Caracas. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and a judge set a June 1, 2027, trial date during a July 22, 2026, hearing while scheduling September motions on defense claims of head-of-state immunity. With the case still in pre-trial proceedings and multiple counts at issue, trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 68.5% reflects the extended timeline, procedural hurdles, and historical patterns in complex conspiracy cases where convictions rarely cover every charge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
30% chance
$131,868 Vol.
$131,868 Vol.
31 dez 2027
Sim
30% chance
$131,868 Vol.
$131,868 Vol.
31 dez 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging Nicolás Maduro and co-defendants with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses after a US military operation captured him in Caracas. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and a judge set a June 1, 2027, trial date during a July 22, 2026, hearing while scheduling September motions on defense claims of head-of-state immunity. With the case still in pre-trial proceedings and multiple counts at issue, trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 68.5% reflects the extended timeline, procedural hurdles, and historical patterns in complex conspiracy cases where convictions rarely cover every charge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$131,868Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging Nicolás Maduro and co-defendants with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses after a US military operation captured him in Caracas. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and a judge set a June 1, 2027, trial date during a July 22, 2026, hearing while scheduling September motions on defense claims of head-of-state immunity. With the case still in pre-trial proceedings and multiple counts at issue, trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 68.5% reflects the extended timeline, procedural hurdles, and historical patterns in complex conspiracy cases where convictions rarely cover every charge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$131,868Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging Nicolás Maduro and co-defendants with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses after a US military operation captured him in Caracas. Maduro and his wife entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and a judge set a June 1, 2027, trial date during a July 22, 2026, hearing while scheduling September motions on defense claims of head-of-state immunity. With the case still in pre-trial proceedings and multiple counts at issue, trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 68.5% reflects the extended timeline, procedural hurdles, and historical patterns in complex conspiracy cases where convictions rarely cover every charge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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