Minnesota's Democratic-Federalist Labor lean and the open seat left by retiring incumbent Tina Smith position Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan as the clear frontrunner following her August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig. Her statewide visibility, progressive base support, and the party's structural advantages in voter registration and recent statewide results contribute to trader consensus reflected in the dominant pricing. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who prevailed in her primary, faces a steep path in a state that has favored Democrats in Senate contests. Factors that could narrow the gap include major shifts in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in key regions, or late developments affecting either candidate's standing before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$31,632 Vol.
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$15,862 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's Democratic-Federalist Labor lean and the open seat left by retiring incumbent Tina Smith position Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan as the clear frontrunner following her August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig. Her statewide visibility, progressive base support, and the party's structural advantages in voter registration and recent statewide results contribute to trader consensus reflected in the dominant pricing. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who prevailed in her primary, faces a steep path in a state that has favored Democrats in Senate contests. Factors that could narrow the gap include major shifts in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in key regions, or late developments affecting either candidate's standing before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$47,494Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's Democratic-Federalist Labor lean and the open seat left by retiring incumbent Tina Smith position Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan as the clear frontrunner following her August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig. Her statewide visibility, progressive base support, and the party's structural advantages in voter registration and recent statewide results contribute to trader consensus reflected in the dominant pricing. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who prevailed in her primary, faces a steep path in a state that has favored Democrats in Senate contests. Factors that could narrow the gap include major shifts in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in key regions, or late developments affecting either candidate's standing before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$47,494Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's Democratic-Federalist Labor lean and the open seat left by retiring incumbent Tina Smith position Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan as the clear frontrunner following her August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig. Her statewide visibility, progressive base support, and the party's structural advantages in voter registration and recent statewide results contribute to trader consensus reflected in the dominant pricing. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who prevailed in her primary, faces a steep path in a state that has favored Democrats in Senate contests. Factors that could narrow the gap include major shifts in national political conditions, unusually high Republican turnout in key regions, or late developments affecting either candidate's standing before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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