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Próxima Premier de Quebec

icon for Próxima Premier de Quebec

Próxima Premier de Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 73%

Christine Fréchette 15.0%

Charles Milliard 11%

Sol Zanetti <1%

Polymarket

$253,314 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 73%

Christine Fréchette 15.0%

Charles Milliard 11%

Sol Zanetti <1%

Polymarket

$253,314 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$18,887 Vol.

73%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$26,680 Vol.

15%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$14,407 Vol.

11%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$50,125 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$60,145 Vol.

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$48,619 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$34,450 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 72% because the Parti Québécois has held a consistent polling advantage ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with recent surveys placing the party near 30% support. Incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 15% amid the party's decline from prior highs, despite her April 2026 leadership win and swearing-in. Liberal leader Charles Milliard sits at 10.5% as the main challenger following his February acclamation, though he lacks a National Assembly seat. Trader consensus reflects the Parti Québécois's stronger positioning in vote intention data and path to forming government, while other candidates remain marginal.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$253,314
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 72% because the Parti Québécois has held a consistent polling advantage ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with recent surveys placing the party near 30% support. Incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec Premier Christine Fréchette trails at 15% amid the party's decline from prior highs, despite her April 2026 leadership win and swearing-in. Liberal leader Charles Milliard sits at 10.5% as the main challenger following his February acclamation, though he lacks a National Assembly seat. Trader consensus reflects the Parti Québécois's stronger positioning in vote intention data and path to forming government, while other candidates remain marginal.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$253,314
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Próxima Premier de Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" at 73%, followed by "Christine Fréchette" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próxima Premier de Quebec" has generated $253.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próxima Premier de Quebec," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próxima Premier de Quebec" is "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Christine Fréchette" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próxima Premier de Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.