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icon for A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?
Mundo·Assuntos Mundiais

A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?

icon for A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?
Mundo·Assuntos Mundiais

A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?

dez 31, 2025

dez 31

dez 31, 2025

dez 31

$152,671 Vol.

31 dez 2025
Polymarket

$152,671 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$59,172 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority government, reliant on fragile coalitions with Junts and Sumar, has weathered PSOE defeats in February's Aragón and March's Castilla y León regional elections, fueling opposition calls from Partido Popular leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo for a snap general election. Traders price the chance of dissolution by June 30, 2026, at 9%, downplaying near-term risk amid Sánchez's April denial of early polls and aim for full term to 2027. Upcoming Andalusian regional vote on May 17—polls favoring PP incumbent Juanma Moreno—could heighten pressure if results mirror prior left losses, though no-confidence motions or budget failures remain key triggers for traders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$152,671
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's minority government, reliant on fragile coalitions with Junts and Sumar, has weathered PSOE defeats in February's Aragón and March's Castilla y León regional elections, fueling opposition calls from Partido Popular leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo for a snap general election. Traders price the chance of dissolution by June 30, 2026, at 9%, downplaying near-term risk amid Sánchez's April denial of early polls and aim for full term to 2027. Upcoming Andalusian regional vote on May 17—polls favoring PP incumbent Juanma Moreno—could heighten pressure if results mirror prior left losses, though no-confidence motions or budget failures remain key triggers for traders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$152,671
Data de Término
31 dez 2025
Mercado Aberto
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 10%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2025" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" has generated $152.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" is "30 de junho de 2026" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2025" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A eleição antecipada da Espanha convocada por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.