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Vencedor da eleição municipal de Tallahassee

icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Tallahassee

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Tallahassee

Loranne Ausley 52%

Jeremy Matlow 19.2%

Daryl Parks 10.9%

Michael Foust 2.9%

Polymarket

$67,555 Vol.

Loranne Ausley 52%

Jeremy Matlow 19.2%

Daryl Parks 10.9%

Michael Foust 2.9%

Polymarket

$67,555 Vol.

icon for Loranne Ausley

Loranne Ausley

$42,867 Vol.

52%

icon for Jeremy Matlow

Jeremy Matlow

$1,902 Vol.

24%

icon for Daryl Parks

Daryl Parks

$2,612 Vol.

11%

icon for Michael Foust

Michael Foust

$2,007 Vol.

3%

icon for Al Lawson

Al Lawson

$18,167 Vol.

1%

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.Loranne Ausley holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the open 2026 Tallahassee mayoral seat after incumbent John Dailey opted not to seek reelection. The June 12 qualifying deadline locked in a four-candidate primary field on the August 18 ballot, featuring Ausley, City Commissioner Jeremy Matlow, Daryl Parks, and Michael Foust. Recent campaign finance reports show Ausley and Parks raising the largest sums in early 2026, while Ausley secured a key police union endorsement and Matlow gained labor support. With no candidate assured of a primary majority, the tight market prices reflect uncertainty over voter coalitions, turnout patterns, and potential runoff dynamics among the top contenders.

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
Volume
$67,555
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.Loranne Ausley holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the open 2026 Tallahassee mayoral seat after incumbent John Dailey opted not to seek reelection. The June 12 qualifying deadline locked in a four-candidate primary field on the August 18 ballot, featuring Ausley, City Commissioner Jeremy Matlow, Daryl Parks, and Michael Foust. Recent campaign finance reports show Ausley and Parks raising the largest sums in early 2026, while Ausley secured a key police union endorsement and Matlow gained labor support. With no candidate assured of a primary majority, the tight market prices reflect uncertainty over voter coalitions, turnout patterns, and potential runoff dynamics among the top contenders.

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
Volume
$67,555
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Tallahassee" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Loranne Ausley" at 52%, followed by "Jeremy Matlow" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Tallahassee" has generated $67.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Tallahassee," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Tallahassee" is "Loranne Ausley" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeremy Matlow" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Tallahassee" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.