The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under ordered departure status since early 2026, with non-emergency personnel and family members relocated amid the Iran conflict that began February 28 and parallel Israel-Hezbollah fighting in southern Lebanon. Recent State Department assessments and internal planning documents now point to the first staff returns to Beirut, starting as early as late August 2026 at reduced (85 percent) levels, signaling lower near-term escalation risks following U.S.-Iran cease-fire arrangements and U.S.-brokered Lebanon-Israel framework talks. Persistent factors include ongoing Israeli strikes, Hezbollah activity, Lebanese army deployment challenges in pilot zones, and the embassy’s “do not travel” advisory. Scheduled September negotiations and any new missile or border incidents could shift security posture and staffing decisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEUA evacuam Embaixada de Beirute por...?
EUA evacuam Embaixada de Beirute por...?
$118,056 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro
5%
$118,056 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$23,954 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under ordered departure status since early 2026, with non-emergency personnel and family members relocated amid the Iran conflict that began February 28 and parallel Israel-Hezbollah fighting in southern Lebanon. Recent State Department assessments and internal planning documents now point to the first staff returns to Beirut, starting as early as late August 2026 at reduced (85 percent) levels, signaling lower near-term escalation risks following U.S.-Iran cease-fire arrangements and U.S.-brokered Lebanon-Israel framework talks. Persistent factors include ongoing Israeli strikes, Hezbollah activity, Lebanese army deployment challenges in pilot zones, and the embassy’s “do not travel” advisory. Scheduled September negotiations and any new missile or border incidents could shift security posture and staffing decisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$118,056Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under ordered departure status since early 2026, with non-emergency personnel and family members relocated amid the Iran conflict that began February 28 and parallel Israel-Hezbollah fighting in southern Lebanon. Recent State Department assessments and internal planning documents now point to the first staff returns to Beirut, starting as early as late August 2026 at reduced (85 percent) levels, signaling lower near-term escalation risks following U.S.-Iran cease-fire arrangements and U.S.-brokered Lebanon-Israel framework talks. Persistent factors include ongoing Israeli strikes, Hezbollah activity, Lebanese army deployment challenges in pilot zones, and the embassy’s “do not travel” advisory. Scheduled September negotiations and any new missile or border incidents could shift security posture and staffing decisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$118,056Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated under ordered departure status since early 2026, with non-emergency personnel and family members relocated amid the Iran conflict that began February 28 and parallel Israel-Hezbollah fighting in southern Lebanon. Recent State Department assessments and internal planning documents now point to the first staff returns to Beirut, starting as early as late August 2026 at reduced (85 percent) levels, signaling lower near-term escalation risks following U.S.-Iran cease-fire arrangements and U.S.-brokered Lebanon-Israel framework talks. Persistent factors include ongoing Israeli strikes, Hezbollah activity, Lebanese army deployment challenges in pilot zones, and the embassy’s “do not travel” advisory. Scheduled September negotiations and any new missile or border incidents could shift security posture and staffing decisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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