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icon for Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Vermont

Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Vermont

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Vermont

Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Vermont

NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO

Phil Scott

$1,310 Vol.

95%

John Rodgers

$1,746 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott commands 95.5% trader consensus in the Vermont GOP gubernatorial primary due to his unmatched popularity—sustained approval ratings above 70%—and history of landslide primary victories in the deep-blue state, where he has secured reelection every two years since 2017. With petitions circulating since early April to secure his spot on the August 11 ballot ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, no credible challengers have emerged, boosting odds from 73% last month amid filing inactivity. Listed contender Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers, at 13.4%, shifted focus to his own reelection bid in February, leaving Scott unopposed. Upsets could stem from Scott declining a sixth term, a late-filed rival post-deadline, or a scandal before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$3,056
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott commands 95.5% trader consensus in the Vermont GOP gubernatorial primary due to his unmatched popularity—sustained approval ratings above 70%—and history of landslide primary victories in the deep-blue state, where he has secured reelection every two years since 2017. With petitions circulating since early April to secure his spot on the August 11 ballot ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, no credible challengers have emerged, boosting odds from 73% last month amid filing inactivity. Listed contender Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers, at 13.4%, shifted focus to his own reelection bid in February, leaving Scott unopposed. Upsets could stem from Scott declining a sixth term, a late-filed rival post-deadline, or a scandal before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$3,056
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Vermont" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Phil Scott" at 95%, followed by "John Rodgers" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Vermont" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Vermont," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Vermont" is "Phil Scott" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Rodgers" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Vermont" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.