The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began July 6, 2026, centers on articles alleging unexplained wealth, SALN discrepancies, misuse of confidential funds, and threats against President Marcos and allies. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges under the constitutional two-thirds threshold, a bar that has prompted recent debate over whether absent or legally restricted senators (including those detained or subject to ICC warrants) adjust the calculation. As of mid-September, the court has subpoenaed Duterte’s bank records from PNB and UnionBank as evidence on asset disclosure, while proceedings continue with amici curiae input on voting rules and ongoing evidence presentation. Senate political alignments, including Duterte family ties among some members, have shaped trader assessments that acquittal remains the more probable outcome under current conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
36% chance
$13,235 Vol.
$13,235 Vol.
30 dez 2026
36% chance
$13,235 Vol.
$13,235 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began July 6, 2026, centers on articles alleging unexplained wealth, SALN discrepancies, misuse of confidential funds, and threats against President Marcos and allies. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges under the constitutional two-thirds threshold, a bar that has prompted recent debate over whether absent or legally restricted senators (including those detained or subject to ICC warrants) adjust the calculation. As of mid-September, the court has subpoenaed Duterte’s bank records from PNB and UnionBank as evidence on asset disclosure, while proceedings continue with amici curiae input on voting rules and ongoing evidence presentation. Senate political alignments, including Duterte family ties among some members, have shaped trader assessments that acquittal remains the more probable outcome under current conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$13,235Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began July 6, 2026, centers on articles alleging unexplained wealth, SALN discrepancies, misuse of confidential funds, and threats against President Marcos and allies. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges under the constitutional two-thirds threshold, a bar that has prompted recent debate over whether absent or legally restricted senators (including those detained or subject to ICC warrants) adjust the calculation. As of mid-September, the court has subpoenaed Duterte’s bank records from PNB and UnionBank as evidence on asset disclosure, while proceedings continue with amici curiae input on voting rules and ongoing evidence presentation. Senate political alignments, including Duterte family ties among some members, have shaped trader assessments that acquittal remains the more probable outcome under current conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$13,235Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which began July 6, 2026, centers on articles alleging unexplained wealth, SALN discrepancies, misuse of confidential funds, and threats against President Marcos and allies. Conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges under the constitutional two-thirds threshold, a bar that has prompted recent debate over whether absent or legally restricted senators (including those detained or subject to ICC warrants) adjust the calculation. As of mid-September, the court has subpoenaed Duterte’s bank records from PNB and UnionBank as evidence on asset disclosure, while proceedings continue with amici curiae input on voting rules and ongoing evidence presentation. Senate political alignments, including Duterte family ties among some members, have shaped trader assessments that acquittal remains the more probable outcome under current conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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