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Hamas previsões e probabilidades

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Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

7%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

159

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

10%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

357

Ends há 4 meses

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

14%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

979

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

31%

$139K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

282

Ends em 17 dias

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

1%

$4.8K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 17 dias

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$58.5K today

$24.6K Liq.

48

Ends em 17 dias

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

7%

June 30

$613K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

4%

$90.9K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

14

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

1%

$10.2K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 18 horas

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

13%

$50.1K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

43%

December 31

$552K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

11

Ends há 4 meses

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends há 14 dias

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

65%

May 17

$63.3K Vol.

$62.6K today

$113K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 dias

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

36%

5

$7M Vol.

$337K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

43%

Likud

$2.2K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC

Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC

55%

Kahrabaa Ismailia FC

$20.2K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

41%

Labour Party 5-10%

$946 Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

13%

June 30

$149K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

30

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

63%

LPH Gaming

$21 Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 8 horas

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

19%

$197K Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hamas.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Hamas that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 36% chance to 5. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hamas predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.