Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's long tenure and the district's strong Democratic partisan lean, covering parts of Santa Clara, Monterey, and San Benito counties, underpin the 96% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026 general election. Lofgren advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 55% of the vote against Republican Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past performance and her fundraising advantage. With no competitive challengers emerging, the market reflects limited prospects for an upset absent a major shift in the national environment or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event impacting the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-18 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-18 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$39,788 Объем
$39,788 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
3%
$39,788 Объем
$39,788 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$20,583 Объем
96%
Республиканская партия
$19,206 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's long tenure and the district's strong Democratic partisan lean, covering parts of Santa Clara, Monterey, and San Benito counties, underpin the 96% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026 general election. Lofgren advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 55% of the vote against Republican Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past performance and her fundraising advantage. With no competitive challengers emerging, the market reflects limited prospects for an upset absent a major shift in the national environment or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event impacting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$39,788Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's long tenure and the district's strong Democratic partisan lean, covering parts of Santa Clara, Monterey, and San Benito counties, underpin the 96% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026 general election. Lofgren advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 55% of the vote against Republican Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past performance and her fundraising advantage. With no competitive challengers emerging, the market reflects limited prospects for an upset absent a major shift in the national environment or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event impacting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$39,788Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's long tenure and the district's strong Democratic partisan lean, covering parts of Santa Clara, Monterey, and San Benito counties, underpin the 96% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026 general election. Lofgren advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 55% of the vote against Republican Shane Lewis, a Marine veteran, while forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on consistent past performance and her fundraising advantage. With no competitive challengers emerging, the market reflects limited prospects for an upset absent a major shift in the national environment or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event impacting the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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