Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th congressional district, reflecting his advantages in name recognition, substantial fundraising, and positioning as a moderate “DeSantis Democrat” in South Florida. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a younger DSA-backed union organizer, has narrowed gaps in some internal polls through progressive messaging on issues like Medicare for All, yet faces structural barriers against an established two-term representative. Recent surveys show Moskowitz ahead or statistically close, with trader consensus pricing in his likely nomination ahead of the primary vote. The outcome hinges on turnout among Democratic primary voters in the newly drawn district stretching from Miami-Dade northward.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$80,593 Объем
$80,593 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
Джаред Московиц
86%
Оливер Ларкин
14%
$80,593 Объем
$80,593 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
Джаред Московиц
$41,904 Объем
86%
Оливер Ларкин
$38,688 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th congressional district, reflecting his advantages in name recognition, substantial fundraising, and positioning as a moderate “DeSantis Democrat” in South Florida. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a younger DSA-backed union organizer, has narrowed gaps in some internal polls through progressive messaging on issues like Medicare for All, yet faces structural barriers against an established two-term representative. Recent surveys show Moskowitz ahead or statistically close, with trader consensus pricing in his likely nomination ahead of the primary vote. The outcome hinges on turnout among Democratic primary voters in the newly drawn district stretching from Miami-Dade northward.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Объем
$80,593Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th congressional district, reflecting his advantages in name recognition, substantial fundraising, and positioning as a moderate “DeSantis Democrat” in South Florida. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a younger DSA-backed union organizer, has narrowed gaps in some internal polls through progressive messaging on issues like Medicare for All, yet faces structural barriers against an established two-term representative. Recent surveys show Moskowitz ahead or statistically close, with trader consensus pricing in his likely nomination ahead of the primary vote. The outcome hinges on turnout among Democratic primary voters in the newly drawn district stretching from Miami-Dade northward.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$80,593Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th congressional district, reflecting his advantages in name recognition, substantial fundraising, and positioning as a moderate “DeSantis Democrat” in South Florida. Challenger Oliver Larkin, a younger DSA-backed union organizer, has narrowed gaps in some internal polls through progressive messaging on issues like Medicare for All, yet faces structural barriers against an established two-term representative. Recent surveys show Moskowitz ahead or statistically close, with trader consensus pricing in his likely nomination ahead of the primary vote. The outcome hinges on turnout among Democratic primary voters in the newly drawn district stretching from Miami-Dade northward.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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