Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative election follows a November 2025 vote interrupted by military intervention and a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from running while mandating institutional reforms. Trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented multiparty field shaped by the 2025 coup’s aftermath, ECOWAS pressure for credible polls, and lingering questions over electoral commission independence. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads as the largest pre-coup coalition with established regional networks and prior governing experience. MUNDO-GB, PS, FLING, FREPASNA, and PT trail with narrower bases tied to specific ethnic or ideological appeals. Consolidation could occur through new alliances, candidate withdrawals, or official announcements clarifying participation rules and transition timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау
Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау
ПС 5.6%
MUNDO-GB 4.6%
FLING 4.5%
FREPASNA 3.7%
$156,852 Объем
$156,852 Объем
23 нояб. 2025 г.
ПС
6%
MUNDO-GB
6%
FLING
4%
FREPASNA
4%
ПТ
2%
Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»
31%
ПС 5.6%
MUNDO-GB 4.6%
FLING 4.5%
FREPASNA 3.7%
$156,852 Объем
$156,852 Объем
23 нояб. 2025 г.
ПС
$24,851 Объем
6%
MUNDO-GB
$22,820 Объем
6%
FLING
$12,886 Объем
4%
FREPASNA
$26,649 Объем
4%
ПТ
$21,794 Объем
2%
Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»
$47,851 Объем
31%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative election follows a November 2025 vote interrupted by military intervention and a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from running while mandating institutional reforms. Trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented multiparty field shaped by the 2025 coup’s aftermath, ECOWAS pressure for credible polls, and lingering questions over electoral commission independence. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads as the largest pre-coup coalition with established regional networks and prior governing experience. MUNDO-GB, PS, FLING, FREPASNA, and PT trail with narrower bases tied to specific ethnic or ideological appeals. Consolidation could occur through new alliances, candidate withdrawals, or official announcements clarifying participation rules and transition timelines.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Открытие рынка: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Объем
$156,852Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative election follows a November 2025 vote interrupted by military intervention and a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from running while mandating institutional reforms. Trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented multiparty field shaped by the 2025 coup’s aftermath, ECOWAS pressure for credible polls, and lingering questions over electoral commission independence. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads as the largest pre-coup coalition with established regional networks and prior governing experience. MUNDO-GB, PS, FLING, FREPASNA, and PT trail with narrower bases tied to specific ethnic or ideological appeals. Consolidation could occur through new alliances, candidate withdrawals, or official announcements clarifying participation rules and transition timelines.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$156,852Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative election follows a November 2025 vote interrupted by military intervention and a transitional charter that bars interim leaders from running while mandating institutional reforms. Trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented multiparty field shaped by the 2025 coup’s aftermath, ECOWAS pressure for credible polls, and lingering questions over electoral commission independence. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads as the largest pre-coup coalition with established regional networks and prior governing experience. MUNDO-GB, PS, FLING, FREPASNA, and PT trail with narrower bases tied to specific ethnic or ideological appeals. Consolidation could occur through new alliances, candidate withdrawals, or official announcements clarifying participation rules and transition timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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