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Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау

icon for Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау

Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау

Фернандо Диас да Коста 48.5%

Мамаду Iaia Djaló 5.2%

Эркулано Армандо Бекуинса 3.5%

Умаро Сиссоко Эмбало 3.0%

Polymarket

$311,386 Объем

Фернандо Диас да Коста 48.5%

Мамаду Iaia Djaló 5.2%

Эркулано Армандо Бекуинса 3.5%

Умаро Сиссоко Эмбало 3.0%

Polymarket

$311,386 Объем

Фернандо Диас да Коста

$47,728 Объем

49%

Мамаду Iaia Djaló

$18,108 Объем

5%

Эркулано Армандо Бекуинса

$15,583 Объем

3%

Умаро Сиссоко Эмбало

$87,327 Объем

3%

Сига Батиста

$21,417 Объем

21%

Марио да Сильва Жуниор

$17,896 Объем

2%

Хонорио Августо Лопеш

$17,560 Объем

2%

Жозе Мариу Ваз

$21,417 Объем

2%

Жоао Бернардо Вейра

$15,098 Объем

1%

Жоао де Деус Мендеш

$16,237 Объем

1%

Габриэль Фернандо Инди

$18,882 Объем

1%

Baciro Djá

$14,132 Объем

<1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Trader consensus favors Fernando Dias da Costa at 48.6% implied probability for the Guinea-Bissau presidential election on December 6, 2026, reflecting his commanding 49.4% in the first round of the annulled November 2025 vote before a military coup ousted incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló and voided results. Siga Batista at 22.1% emerges as a competitive alternative amid transitional government oversight by General Horta Inta-A Na Man, who is constitutionally barred from running, and ECOWAS pressure for credible polls. No opinion polls are permitted under electoral law, leaving market pricing driven by 2025 momentum and post-coup factional dynamics in this two-round system; no major developments have occurred in the past 30 days.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$311,386
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Trader consensus favors Fernando Dias da Costa at 48.6% implied probability for the Guinea-Bissau presidential election on December 6, 2026, reflecting his commanding 49.4% in the first round of the annulled November 2025 vote before a military coup ousted incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló and voided results. Siga Batista at 22.1% emerges as a competitive alternative amid transitional government oversight by General Horta Inta-A Na Man, who is constitutionally barred from running, and ECOWAS pressure for credible polls. No opinion polls are permitted under electoral law, leaving market pricing driven by 2025 momentum and post-coup factional dynamics in this two-round system; no major developments have occurred in the past 30 days.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$311,386
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 12 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Фернандо Диас да Коста» с 49%, за ним следует «Сига Батиста» с 21%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 49¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $311.4K с момента запуска рынка Nov 6, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау», просмотри 12 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау» — «Фернандо Диас да Коста» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Сига Батиста» с 21%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.