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icon for Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау

Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау

icon for Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау

Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау

FREPASNA 18.8%

Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné» 14.4%

ПТ 6.6%

FLING 4.3%

Polymarket

$159,337 Объем

FREPASNA 18.8%

Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné» 14.4%

ПТ 6.6%

FLING 4.3%

Polymarket

$159,337 Объем

FREPASNA

$26,769 Объем

19%

Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»

$48,626 Объем

14%

ПТ

$21,911 Объем

7%

FLING

$12,987 Объем

4%

ПС

$26,160 Объем

3%

MUNDO-GB


$22,884 Объем

3%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The tight contest for Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 National People’s Assembly election reflects a fragmented field under proportional representation, with no dominant party emerging after the 2025 coup annulled prior results and installed a military-led transition. Recent approval of a new constitution that shrinks parliament from 102 to 65 seats and redraws constituencies has introduced fresh uncertainty over seat allocation, while the main opposition PAIGC boycott of the August referendum and ongoing restrictions on party offices have limited organized challenges. FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” lead on trader pricing because of their visibility in the transitional process and prior coalitions, yet low individual shares for PT, FLING, PS and MUNDO-GB underscore the absence of clear frontrunners. Further separation could arise from final candidate lists, new alliances, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, or any shifts in military or international mediation before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$159,337
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The tight contest for Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 National People’s Assembly election reflects a fragmented field under proportional representation, with no dominant party emerging after the 2025 coup annulled prior results and installed a military-led transition. Recent approval of a new constitution that shrinks parliament from 102 to 65 seats and redraws constituencies has introduced fresh uncertainty over seat allocation, while the main opposition PAIGC boycott of the August referendum and ongoing restrictions on party offices have limited organized challenges. FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” lead on trader pricing because of their visibility in the transitional process and prior coalitions, yet low individual shares for PT, FLING, PS and MUNDO-GB underscore the absence of clear frontrunners. Further separation could arise from final candidate lists, new alliances, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, or any shifts in military or international mediation before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$159,337
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Фернандо Диас да Коста президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау 2025 года?

Выиграет ли Фернандо Диас да Коста президентские выборы в Гвинее-Бисау 2025 года?

22%
Да
icon for Получит ли Движение Единых Сердец наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Национальное собрание Центральноафриканской Республики в 2025 году?

Получит ли Движение Единых Сердец наибольшее количество мест на выборах в Национальное собрание Центральноафриканской Республики в 2025 году?

92%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли СДА наибольшее количество мест на всеобщих выборах в Боснии в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли СДА наибольшее количество мест на всеобщих выборах в Боснии в 2026 году?

84%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «FREPASNA» с 19%, за ним следует «Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»» с 14%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 19¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 19%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $159.3K с момента запуска рынка Nov 7, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» — «FREPASNA» с 19%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 19%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»» с 14%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.