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Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау

icon for Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау

Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау

Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné» 58.1%

FLING 11.9%

ПС 5.8%

FREPASNA 3.9%

Polymarket

$140,664 Объем

Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné» 58.1%

FLING 11.9%

ПС 5.8%

FREPASNA 3.9%

Polymarket

$140,664 Объем

Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»

$39,663 Объем

35%

FLING

$11,905 Объем

6%

ПС

$23,568 Объем

6%

FREPASNA

$23,723 Объем

4%

MUNDO-GB


$21,373 Объем

3%

ПТ

$20,432 Объем

10%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The broad 16-party Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” coalition leads trader consensus for the most seats in Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election set for December 6, 2026, reflecting its size and performance in the annulled November 2025 vote under proportional representation across multi-member districts. The transitional military junta’s January 2026 decree authorizing the polls after the November 2025 coup, combined with ongoing political fragmentation and reported restrictions on opposition activity, has shaped positioning for smaller parties including PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB. These dynamics underscore the competitive environment ahead of the vote, with the proportional system and transitional oversight remaining central to assessments of likely seat distributions.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$140,664
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The broad 16-party Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” coalition leads trader consensus for the most seats in Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election set for December 6, 2026, reflecting its size and performance in the annulled November 2025 vote under proportional representation across multi-member districts. The transitional military junta’s January 2026 decree authorizing the polls after the November 2025 coup, combined with ongoing political fragmentation and reported restrictions on opposition activity, has shaped positioning for smaller parties including PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB. These dynamics underscore the competitive environment ahead of the vote, with the proportional system and transitional oversight remaining central to assessments of likely seat distributions.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$140,664
Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»» с 35%, за ним следует «ПТ» с 10%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 35¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 35%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $140.7K с момента запуска рынка Nov 7, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» — «Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»» с 35%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 35%. Следующий ближайший исход — «ПТ» с 10%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.