MCU's commanding position stems from the December 2025 general elections, where President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's party secured 50 of the 74 first-round National Assembly seats declared and aligned with his 77.9 percent presidential victory. The April 2026 runoff and by-elections, conducted peacefully with MINUSCA logistical and security backing, reinforced this edge amid high turnout and limited opposition gains. UNDP and KNK trail as smaller contenders with historical seats but lack the ruling coalition's institutional reach and voter mobilization in a fragmented system. Traders' implied probabilities reflect these confirmed electoral patterns and the absence of major disruptions that could shift seat allocations before full results finalize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Национальное собрание Центральноафриканской Республики
Победитель выборов в Национальное собрание Центральноафриканской Республики
ДЕС 66.0%
KNK 10.3%
ДОЦАН 2.6%
MOUNI 1.8%
$113,912 Объем
$113,912 Объем
28 дек. 2025 г.
ДЕС
66%
KNK
7%
ДОЦАН
3%
MOUNI
2%
УРЦА
2%
ЦАДО
1%
НДП
15%
ДЕС 66.0%
KNK 10.3%
ДОЦАН 2.6%
MOUNI 1.8%
$113,912 Объем
$113,912 Объем
28 дек. 2025 г.
ДЕС
$31,928 Объем
66%
KNK
$7,569 Объем
7%
ДОЦАН
$6,800 Объем
3%
MOUNI
$6,436 Объем
2%
УРЦА
$41,428 Объем
2%
ЦАДО
$6,426 Объем
1%
НДП
$13,325 Объем
15%
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).MCU's commanding position stems from the December 2025 general elections, where President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's party secured 50 of the 74 first-round National Assembly seats declared and aligned with his 77.9 percent presidential victory. The April 2026 runoff and by-elections, conducted peacefully with MINUSCA logistical and security backing, reinforced this edge amid high turnout and limited opposition gains. UNDP and KNK trail as smaller contenders with historical seats but lack the ruling coalition's institutional reach and voter mobilization in a fragmented system. Traders' implied probabilities reflect these confirmed electoral patterns and the absence of major disruptions that could shift seat allocations before full results finalize.
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ET
Объем
$113,912Дата окончания
28 дек. 2025 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).MCU's commanding position stems from the December 2025 general elections, where President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's party secured 50 of the 74 first-round National Assembly seats declared and aligned with his 77.9 percent presidential victory. The April 2026 runoff and by-elections, conducted peacefully with MINUSCA logistical and security backing, reinforced this edge amid high turnout and limited opposition gains. UNDP and KNK trail as smaller contenders with historical seats but lack the ruling coalition's institutional reach and voter mobilization in a fragmented system. Traders' implied probabilities reflect these confirmed electoral patterns and the absence of major disruptions that could shift seat allocations before full results finalize.
The 2025 Central African Republic general election is scheduled to be held on December 28, 2025, to elect the 140 members of the National Assembly (CAR’s unicameral parliament).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
Объем
$113,912Дата окончания
28 дек. 2025 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...MCU's commanding position stems from the December 2025 general elections, where President Faustin-Archange Touadéra's party secured 50 of the 74 first-round National Assembly seats declared and aligned with his 77.9 percent presidential victory. The April 2026 runoff and by-elections, conducted peacefully with MINUSCA logistical and security backing, reinforced this edge amid high turnout and limited opposition gains. UNDP and KNK trail as smaller contenders with historical seats but lack the ruling coalition's institutional reach and voter mobilization in a fragmented system. Traders' implied probabilities reflect these confirmed electoral patterns and the absence of major disruptions that could shift seat allocations before full results finalize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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