Recent model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus points to a building high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, favoring a peak temperature near 20–21°C on May 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological averages of 21–22°C but follows cooler northerly advection that suppressed highs to 15–18°C earlier in the week. Differentiating the closely matched 20°C and 21°C outcomes hinges on afternoon solar insolation and any lingering cloud cover that could trim maximums by 1–2°C, while stable conditions reduce the chance of exceeding 23°C. Traders weigh these subtle shifts ahead of the next model cycle and official observations from Esenboğa.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 19 мая?
21°C 29%
20°C 23%
22°C 17%
19°C 13%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
13%
20°C
23%
21°C
29%
22°C
17%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
3%
21°C 29%
20°C 23%
22°C 17%
19°C 13%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
13%
20°C
23%
21°C
29%
22°C
17%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACRecent model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus points to a building high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, favoring a peak temperature near 20–21°C on May 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological averages of 21–22°C but follows cooler northerly advection that suppressed highs to 15–18°C earlier in the week. Differentiating the closely matched 20°C and 21°C outcomes hinges on afternoon solar insolation and any lingering cloud cover that could trim maximums by 1–2°C, while stable conditions reduce the chance of exceeding 23°C. Traders weigh these subtle shifts ahead of the next model cycle and official observations from Esenboğa.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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