Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?

Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?

icon for Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?

Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?

мая 14

мая 15

мая 14

мая 15

33°C or below 64%

34°C 22%

35°C 12%

36°C 2.5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$31,499 Объем

33°C or below 64%

34°C 22%

35°C 12%

36°C 2.5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$31,499 Объем

33°C or below

$5,461 Объем

64%

34°C

$2,052 Объем

22%

35°C

$1,852 Объем

12%

36°C

$2,482 Объем

3%

37°C

$3,642 Объем

1%

38°C

$4,076 Объем

<1%

39°C

$3,331 Объем

<1%

40°C

$2,625 Объем

<1%

41°C

$1,674 Объем

<1%

42°C

$2,739 Объем

<1%

43°C or higher

$1,592 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on May 14 at 33°C or below, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official forecast via World Meteorological Centre Beijing of a 33°C daytime high under sunny skies with light southeast winds and hourly peaks near 32.9°C. This aligns with the tail end of North China's first 2026 heatwave, featuring a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and above-normal May temperatures (historical average ~26°C). Divergence in global models like those powering AccuWeather (35°C) and timeanddate.com (36°C) supports 21% odds on 34°C and 10% on 35°C, reflecting urban heat island potential and short-range forecast uncertainty. Updated CMA guidance expected today could refine these market-implied odds ahead of official observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$31,499
Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on May 14 at 33°C or below, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) official forecast via World Meteorological Centre Beijing of a 33°C daytime high under sunny skies with light southeast winds and hourly peaks near 32.9°C. This aligns with the tail end of North China's first 2026 heatwave, featuring a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and above-normal May temperatures (historical average ~26°C). Divergence in global models like those powering AccuWeather (35°C) and timeanddate.com (36°C) supports 21% odds on 34°C and 10% on 35°C, reflecting urban heat island potential and short-range forecast uncertainty. Updated CMA guidance expected today could refine these market-implied odds ahead of official observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$31,499
Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «33°C or below» с 64%, за ним следует «34°C» с 22%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 64¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 64%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $31.5K с момента запуска рынка May 12, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?» — «33°C or below» с 64%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 64%. Следующий ближайший исход — «34°C» с 22%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Beijing on May 14?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.