Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of exactly 14 °C at the key Buenos Aires reporting station on May 16, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal southerly flow and variable cloud cover suppressed daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, consistent with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models. This strong consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, though rare late data revisions at the Minister Pistarini station or station-specific micro-climate adjustments could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow uncertainty band typical of mid-autumn conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 16 мая?
14°C 100.0%
10°C или ниже <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$63,099 Объем
$63,099 Объем
10°C или ниже
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Да
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C или выше
Нет
14°C 100.0%
10°C или ниже <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$63,099 Объем
$63,099 Объем
10°C или ниже
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Да
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of exactly 14 °C at the key Buenos Aires reporting station on May 16, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal southerly flow and variable cloud cover suppressed daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, consistent with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models. This strong consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, though rare late data revisions at the Minister Pistarini station or station-specific micro-climate adjustments could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow uncertainty band typical of mid-autumn conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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