Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 17 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 17 мая?
35°C or higher 87%
34°C 9%
33°C 4.3%
31°C 1.3%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
87%
35°C or higher 87%
34°C 9%
33°C 4.3%
31°C 1.3%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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