Recent model consensus from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to a daily high near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv on May 16, shaped by steady westerly winds that sustain onshore Mediterranean flow and limit afternoon heating. Partial high-level cloud cover further moderates surface temperatures, while sea-breeze circulation—enhanced by the coastal location—introduces subtle cooling thresholds that traders weigh when separating the closely matched 24°C and 25°C brackets. Historical mid-May climatology for the eastern Mediterranean shows averages around 25°C, yet minor shifts in wind speed or timing of any cloud breaks could tip the peak by a degree. Official Israel Meteorological Service updates and real-time station observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
25°C 46%
24°C 40%
26°C 12%
23°C 9.6%
НОВОЕ
$13,061 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,061 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
40%
25°C
46%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
24°C 40%
26°C 12%
23°C 9.6%
НОВОЕ
$13,061 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,061 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
$1,253 Объем
<1%
19°C
$1,010 Объем
<1%
20°C
$823 Объем
<1%
21°C
$1,149 Объем
<1%
22°C
$852 Объем
1%
23°C
$1,248 Объем
10%
24°C
$1,185 Объем
40%
25°C
$1,040 Объем
46%
26°C
$975 Объем
12%
27°C
$1,372 Объем
2%
28°C or higher
$2,155 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to a daily high near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv on May 16, shaped by steady westerly winds that sustain onshore Mediterranean flow and limit afternoon heating. Partial high-level cloud cover further moderates surface temperatures, while sea-breeze circulation—enhanced by the coastal location—introduces subtle cooling thresholds that traders weigh when separating the closely matched 24°C and 25°C brackets. Historical mid-May climatology for the eastern Mediterranean shows averages around 25°C, yet minor shifts in wind speed or timing of any cloud breaks could tip the peak by a degree. Official Israel Meteorological Service updates and real-time station observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Объем
$13,061Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to a daily high near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv on May 16, shaped by steady westerly winds that sustain onshore Mediterranean flow and limit afternoon heating. Partial high-level cloud cover further moderates surface temperatures, while sea-breeze circulation—enhanced by the coastal location—introduces subtle cooling thresholds that traders weigh when separating the closely matched 24°C and 25°C brackets. Historical mid-May climatology for the eastern Mediterranean shows averages around 25°C, yet minor shifts in wind speed or timing of any cloud breaks could tip the peak by a degree. Official Israel Meteorological Service updates and real-time station observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$13,061Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to a daily high near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv on May 16, shaped by steady westerly winds that sustain onshore Mediterranean flow and limit afternoon heating. Partial high-level cloud cover further moderates surface temperatures, while sea-breeze circulation—enhanced by the coastal location—introduces subtle cooling thresholds that traders weigh when separating the closely matched 24°C and 25°C brackets. Historical mid-May climatology for the eastern Mediterranean shows averages around 25°C, yet minor shifts in wind speed or timing of any cloud breaks could tip the peak by a degree. Official Israel Meteorological Service updates and real-time station observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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