Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 17 maximum in a narrow 27–30 °C window, with model ensembles clustering most tightly near 29 °C and 30 °C. This near-even split in implied probabilities reflects modest daytime heating driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit mixing. Lingering low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, however, introduce enough forecast spread to keep both outcomes viable while suppressing the chance of reaching 31 °C or higher. Traders are closely monitoring the final morning model run and any last adjustments in steering flow before the official station observation closes the window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 17 мая?
30°C 48%
29°C 33%
31°C 9.0%
32°C 1.4%
$35,214 Объем
$35,214 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
33%
30°C
48%
31°C
9%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 48%
29°C 33%
31°C 9.0%
32°C 1.4%
$35,214 Объем
$35,214 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
33%
30°C
48%
31°C
9%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 17 maximum in a narrow 27–30 °C window, with model ensembles clustering most tightly near 29 °C and 30 °C. This near-even split in implied probabilities reflects modest daytime heating driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit mixing. Lingering low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, however, introduce enough forecast spread to keep both outcomes viable while suppressing the chance of reaching 31 °C or higher. Traders are closely monitoring the final morning model run and any last adjustments in steering flow before the official station observation closes the window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы