National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 project highs in the mid-to-upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this authoritative guidance. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas promoting subsidence—downward atmospheric motion that caps clouds and boosts daytime heating—following an Ozone Action Day on May 13 with inland lows in the 60s. May climatology supports this, with 1991-2020 normals near 87°F amid low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include intensified onshore sea breeze pulling cooler Gulf air inland or unexpected afternoon cumulus development, though model ensembles show low likelihood; watch NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on May 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 14?
86°F or higher 97.5%
84-85°F 1.5%
82-83°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
НОВОЕ
$12,221 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,221 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
98%
86°F or higher 97.5%
84-85°F 1.5%
82-83°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
НОВОЕ
$12,221 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,221 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
67°F or below
$814 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$375 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$764 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$6,477 Объем
<1%
74-75°F
$654 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$380 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$327 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$368 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$378 Объем
1%
84-85°F
$758 Объем
2%
86°F or higher
$927 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 project highs in the mid-to-upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this authoritative guidance. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas promoting subsidence—downward atmospheric motion that caps clouds and boosts daytime heating—following an Ozone Action Day on May 13 with inland lows in the 60s. May climatology supports this, with 1991-2020 normals near 87°F amid low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include intensified onshore sea breeze pulling cooler Gulf air inland or unexpected afternoon cumulus development, though model ensembles show low likelihood; watch NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Объем
$12,221Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 project highs in the mid-to-upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this authoritative guidance. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas promoting subsidence—downward atmospheric motion that caps clouds and boosts daytime heating—following an Ozone Action Day on May 13 with inland lows in the 60s. May climatology supports this, with 1991-2020 normals near 87°F amid low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include intensified onshore sea breeze pulling cooler Gulf air inland or unexpected afternoon cumulus development, though model ensembles show low likelihood; watch NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,221Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 14 project highs in the mid-to-upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher as traders align with this authoritative guidance. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas promoting subsidence—downward atmospheric motion that caps clouds and boosts daytime heating—following an Ozone Action Day on May 13 with inland lows in the 60s. May climatology supports this, with 1991-2020 normals near 87°F amid low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include intensified onshore sea breeze pulling cooler Gulf air inland or unexpected afternoon cumulus development, though model ensembles show low likelihood; watch NWS updates through midday May 14 for refinements ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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