Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature today at exactly 39°C, with 42% for 40°C or higher, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range weather models amid persistent above-average heat. Latest guidance from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology (NCM) and international forecasts like GFS and ECMWF project clear skies, light northwest winds, and strong subsidence under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, enabling intense solar heating over the coastal plain. Recent observations show highs exceeding 40°C earlier this month, including 41°C on May 6 and 45°C on May 4, sustaining elevated trader expectations despite morning haze and sea breeze moderation. Model ensembles indicate a 1–2°C spread, with peak temperatures likely between 2–5 PM local time at King Abdulaziz International Airport; hourly updates will sharpen resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
39°C 98.8%
40°C or higher <1%
38°C <1%
$31,854 Объем
$31,854 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
38°C
<1%
39°C
99%
40°C or higher
1%
39°C 98.8%
40°C or higher <1%
38°C <1%
$31,854 Объем
$31,854 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
38°C
$2,313 Объем
<1%
39°C
$3,864 Объем
99%
40°C or higher
$3,577 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature today at exactly 39°C, with 42% for 40°C or higher, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range weather models amid persistent above-average heat. Latest guidance from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology (NCM) and international forecasts like GFS and ECMWF project clear skies, light northwest winds, and strong subsidence under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, enabling intense solar heating over the coastal plain. Recent observations show highs exceeding 40°C earlier this month, including 41°C on May 6 and 45°C on May 4, sustaining elevated trader expectations despite morning haze and sea breeze moderation. Model ensembles indicate a 1–2°C spread, with peak temperatures likely between 2–5 PM local time at King Abdulaziz International Airport; hourly updates will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Объем
$31,854Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature today at exactly 39°C, with 42% for 40°C or higher, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range weather models amid persistent above-average heat. Latest guidance from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology (NCM) and international forecasts like GFS and ECMWF project clear skies, light northwest winds, and strong subsidence under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, enabling intense solar heating over the coastal plain. Recent observations show highs exceeding 40°C earlier this month, including 41°C on May 6 and 45°C on May 4, sustaining elevated trader expectations despite morning haze and sea breeze moderation. Model ensembles indicate a 1–2°C spread, with peak temperatures likely between 2–5 PM local time at King Abdulaziz International Airport; hourly updates will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$31,854Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature today at exactly 39°C, with 42% for 40°C or higher, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range weather models amid persistent above-average heat. Latest guidance from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology (NCM) and international forecasts like GFS and ECMWF project clear skies, light northwest winds, and strong subsidence under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, enabling intense solar heating over the coastal plain. Recent observations show highs exceeding 40°C earlier this month, including 41°C on May 6 and 45°C on May 4, sustaining elevated trader expectations despite morning haze and sea breeze moderation. Model ensembles indicate a 1–2°C spread, with peak temperatures likely between 2–5 PM local time at King Abdulaziz International Airport; hourly updates will sharpen resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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