Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the highest temperature in Paris on May 19 most likely between 16°C and 18°C, driven by a northwesterly flow of cooler Atlantic air under a weak high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while allowing partial cloud cover. This setup contrasts with stronger southerly advection that could push readings toward 19–20°C if the ridge shifts eastward. At two days out, model spread remains modest but centers near seasonal normals of 18°C, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics evenly, as the close pricing between 17°C and 18°C reflects the narrow range typical of late-spring variability in the Paris Basin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 19 мая?
17°C 34%
18°C 28%
16°C 21%
19°C 12%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
21%
17°C
34%
18°C
28%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 34%
18°C 28%
16°C 21%
19°C 12%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
21%
17°C
34%
18°C
28%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the highest temperature in Paris on May 19 most likely between 16°C and 18°C, driven by a northwesterly flow of cooler Atlantic air under a weak high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while allowing partial cloud cover. This setup contrasts with stronger southerly advection that could push readings toward 19–20°C if the ridge shifts eastward. At two days out, model spread remains modest but centers near seasonal normals of 18°C, with uncertainty tied to exact timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics evenly, as the close pricing between 17°C and 18°C reflects the narrow range typical of late-spring variability in the Paris Basin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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