Latest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 18 мая?
14°C 53%
15°C 35%
13°C 11.9%
16°C 2.7%
$24,333 Объем
$24,333 Объем
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
12%
14°C
53%
15°C
35%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C или выше
<1%
14°C 53%
15°C 35%
13°C 11.9%
16°C 2.7%
$24,333 Объем
$24,333 Объем
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
12%
14°C
53%
15°C
35%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNLatest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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