Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько 7.0 или выше землетрясений к 30 июня? (Более сильные удары)
Сколько 7.0 или выше землетрясений к 30 июня? (Более сильные удары)
≤8 50%
10 15%
9 14%
11 12%
$90,387 Объем
$90,387 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
≤8
50%
9
20%
10
15%
11
12%
12
8%
13
3%
14+
2%
≤8 50%
10 15%
9 14%
11 12%
$90,387 Объем
$90,387 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
≤8
$25,442 Объем
50%
9
$17,549 Объем
20%
10
$8,417 Объем
15%
11
$28,083 Объем
12%
12
$4,406 Объем
8%
13
$2,773 Объем
3%
14+
$3,718 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Объем
$90,387Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Объем
$90,387Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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