The April 2026 nonfarm payrolls gain of 115,000 jobs, well above consensus estimates near 60,000, combined with an unchanged 4.3% unemployment rate, is anchoring trader expectations for the May employment report due June 5. Mixed underlying signals—robust gains in healthcare, transportation, and retail offset by household survey weakness, downward revisions to prior months, and softening labor force participation—are fueling the tight spread across outcomes. Recent central bank commentary on persistent inflation and labor market resilience adds further uncertainty, prompting markets to price in a range of scenarios rather than any single trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow many jobs added in May?
How many jobs added in May?
100k – 150k 41%
150k – 200k 30%
50k – 100k 22%
0 – 50k 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 июн. 2026 г.
<0
15%
0 – 50k
34%
50k – 100k
17%
100k – 150k
27%
150k – 200k
30%
200k+
13%
100k – 150k 41%
150k – 200k 30%
50k – 100k 22%
0 – 50k 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 июн. 2026 г.
<0
$138 Объем
15%
0 – 50k
$75 Объем
34%
50k – 100k
$60 Объем
17%
100k – 150k
$74 Объем
27%
150k – 200k
$38 Объем
30%
200k+
$38 Объем
13%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThe April 2026 nonfarm payrolls gain of 115,000 jobs, well above consensus estimates near 60,000, combined with an unchanged 4.3% unemployment rate, is anchoring trader expectations for the May employment report due June 5. Mixed underlying signals—robust gains in healthcare, transportation, and retail offset by household survey weakness, downward revisions to prior months, and softening labor force participation—are fueling the tight spread across outcomes. Recent central bank commentary on persistent inflation and labor market resilience adds further uncertainty, prompting markets to price in a range of scenarios rather than any single trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Открытие рынка: May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Объем
$424Дата окончания
5 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThe April 2026 nonfarm payrolls gain of 115,000 jobs, well above consensus estimates near 60,000, combined with an unchanged 4.3% unemployment rate, is anchoring trader expectations for the May employment report due June 5. Mixed underlying signals—robust gains in healthcare, transportation, and retail offset by household survey weakness, downward revisions to prior months, and softening labor force participation—are fueling the tight spread across outcomes. Recent central bank commentary on persistent inflation and labor market resilience adds further uncertainty, prompting markets to price in a range of scenarios rather than any single trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Объем
$424Дата окончания
5 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The April 2026 nonfarm payrolls gain of 115,000 jobs, well above consensus estimates near 60,000, combined with an unchanged 4.3% unemployment rate, is anchoring trader expectations for the May employment report due June 5. Mixed underlying signals—robust gains in healthcare, transportation, and retail offset by household survey weakness, downward revisions to prior months, and softening labor force participation—are fueling the tight spread across outcomes. Recent central bank commentary on persistent inflation and labor market resilience adds further uncertainty, prompting markets to price in a range of scenarios rather than any single trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы