Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain deadlocked over Tehran’s refusal to permanently end uranium enrichment, driving the 80% trader consensus against an agreement by June 30. Iran has signaled willingness to discuss temporary pauses or limits such as 3.5% enrichment levels in exchange for sanctions relief, yet it continues to affirm enrichment as a non-negotiable sovereign right and excludes the issue from current talks. Recent statements from Iranian officials, including Atomic Energy Organization head Mohammad Eslami on May 11, reinforce this position amid stalled diplomacy following earlier proposals for multi-year suspensions that fell short of US demands for a full halt. No verifiable breakthrough has emerged in the past month to shift the trajectory before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИран согласен прекратить обогащение урана к 30 июня?
Иран согласен прекратить обогащение урана к 30 июня?
Да
$1,383,209 Объем
$1,383,209 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$1,383,209 Объем
$1,383,209 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain deadlocked over Tehran’s refusal to permanently end uranium enrichment, driving the 80% trader consensus against an agreement by June 30. Iran has signaled willingness to discuss temporary pauses or limits such as 3.5% enrichment levels in exchange for sanctions relief, yet it continues to affirm enrichment as a non-negotiable sovereign right and excludes the issue from current talks. Recent statements from Iranian officials, including Atomic Energy Organization head Mohammad Eslami on May 11, reinforce this position amid stalled diplomacy following earlier proposals for multi-year suspensions that fell short of US demands for a full halt. No verifiable breakthrough has emerged in the past month to shift the trajectory before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Объем
$1,383,209Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain deadlocked over Tehran’s refusal to permanently end uranium enrichment, driving the 80% trader consensus against an agreement by June 30. Iran has signaled willingness to discuss temporary pauses or limits such as 3.5% enrichment levels in exchange for sanctions relief, yet it continues to affirm enrichment as a non-negotiable sovereign right and excludes the issue from current talks. Recent statements from Iranian officials, including Atomic Energy Organization head Mohammad Eslami on May 11, reinforce this position amid stalled diplomacy following earlier proposals for multi-year suspensions that fell short of US demands for a full halt. No verifiable breakthrough has emerged in the past month to shift the trajectory before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,383,209Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain deadlocked over Tehran’s refusal to permanently end uranium enrichment, driving the 80% trader consensus against an agreement by June 30. Iran has signaled willingness to discuss temporary pauses or limits such as 3.5% enrichment levels in exchange for sanctions relief, yet it continues to affirm enrichment as a non-negotiable sovereign right and excludes the issue from current talks. Recent statements from Iranian officials, including Atomic Energy Organization head Mohammad Eslami on May 11, reinforce this position amid stalled diplomacy following earlier proposals for multi-year suspensions that fell short of US demands for a full halt. No verifiable breakthrough has emerged in the past month to shift the trajectory before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы