The Democrats party, formed by the Labor-Meretz merger under Yair Golan, polls in the 8-10 seat range across recent surveys as Israeli voters head into the October 27 Knesset election. Both the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and the main opposition bloc currently project short of the 61 seats needed for a majority, leaving small shifts in turnout, undecided voters, or surplus-vote agreements—such as the one pairing The Democrats with Yashar—capable of moving final totals by a seat or two. Petitions to disqualify rival lists and last-minute campaign developments could further influence the left-wing Zionist party's performance within the tight polling band reflected in current trader pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено8-9 27%
<8 25%
10-11 22%
12-13 9%
<8
28%
8-9
27%
10-11
18%
12-13
9%
14+
5%
8-9 27%
<8 25%
10-11 22%
12-13 9%
<8
28%
8-9
27%
10-11
18%
12-13
9%
14+
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Democrats party, formed by the Labor-Meretz merger under Yair Golan, polls in the 8-10 seat range across recent surveys as Israeli voters head into the October 27 Knesset election. Both the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and the main opposition bloc currently project short of the 61 seats needed for a majority, leaving small shifts in turnout, undecided voters, or surplus-vote agreements—such as the one pairing The Democrats with Yashar—capable of moving final totals by a seat or two. Petitions to disqualify rival lists and last-minute campaign developments could further influence the left-wing Zionist party's performance within the tight polling band reflected in current trader pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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