Recent meteorological forecasts for Paris on June 14, 2026, from sources including Météo-France and international models show a minimum temperature stabilizing near 13°C overnight under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, driving the overwhelming market consensus on that outcome. This aligns with typical early June climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 12–14°C, and current model consensus shows limited cooling potential due to mild advection and urban heat retention. Traders interpret the narrow implied probability spread as reflecting high confidence in official station readings, such as those from Paris-Montsouris. A realistic shift could occur only if late-night radiative cooling intensifies beyond projections or if localized measurement discrepancies arise at the recording site.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 14 июня?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,144 Объем
$12,144 Объем
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,144 Объем
$12,144 Объем
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Paris on June 14, 2026, from sources including Météo-France and international models show a minimum temperature stabilizing near 13°C overnight under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, driving the overwhelming market consensus on that outcome. This aligns with typical early June climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 12–14°C, and current model consensus shows limited cooling potential due to mild advection and urban heat retention. Traders interpret the narrow implied probability spread as reflecting high confidence in official station readings, such as those from Paris-Montsouris. A realistic shift could occur only if late-night radiative cooling intensifies beyond projections or if localized measurement discrepancies arise at the recording site.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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