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icon for Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
Геополитика·Mbs

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

icon for Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
Геополитика·Mbs

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

$827,173 Объем

30 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$827,173 Объем

Polymarket

30 июня

$821,384 Объем

2%

31 декабря

$5,789 Объем

7%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's unchallenged de facto leader as Crown Prince and Prime Minister, with no verified challenges to his authority in recent months. King Salman's advanced age and periodic health updates, including a reassuring hospital discharge in January 2026, keep succession speculation alive, though MBS has consolidated power through Vision 2030 reforms, recently entering its third phase amid 2025 annual report highlights on economic gains. Diplomatic maneuvers, such as reported pushes for escalated action against Iran in March and recent tensions over US air operations, underscore his assertive foreign policy without domestic instability signals. Traders weigh low removal odds absent palace intrigue, military coups, or abrupt royal decrees, with next Vision 2030 milestones as key monitors.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$827,173
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's unchallenged de facto leader as Crown Prince and Prime Minister, with no verified challenges to his authority in recent months. King Salman's advanced age and periodic health updates, including a reassuring hospital discharge in January 2026, keep succession speculation alive, though MBS has consolidated power through Vision 2030 reforms, recently entering its third phase amid 2025 annual report highlights on economic gains. Diplomatic maneuvers, such as reported pushes for escalated action against Iran in March and recent tensions over US air operations, underscore his assertive foreign policy without domestic instability signals. Traders weigh low removal odds absent palace intrigue, military coups, or abrupt royal decrees, with next Vision 2030 milestones as key monitors.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$827,173
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 7%, за ним следует «30 июня» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 7¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 7%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $827.2K с момента запуска рынка Mar 27, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?» — «31 декабря» всего с 7%, а «30 июня» близко позади с 2%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.