Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border stem from 2025 clashes that killed over 140 people and displaced hundreds of thousands before a December 27 ceasefire. Both nations have since reaffirmed commitments to de-escalation through diplomatic channels, yet border crossings remain closed with travel advisories in place as of March 2026. Thailand’s February 2026 election victory by nationalists advocating stronger frontier security measures has added pressure, including proposals for physical barriers, while Cambodia continues to allege encroachments and troop movements. Ongoing displacement of over 36,000 people and mutual accusations over landmines and fortifications sustain uncertainty, though neither side has signaled intent to resume strikes. Scheduled ASEAN and bilateral talks could influence the trajectory of these disputes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТаиланд наносит удар по Камбодже...?
Таиланд наносит удар по Камбодже...?
$70,940 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня 2026 года
4%
$70,940 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
$26,527 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border stem from 2025 clashes that killed over 140 people and displaced hundreds of thousands before a December 27 ceasefire. Both nations have since reaffirmed commitments to de-escalation through diplomatic channels, yet border crossings remain closed with travel advisories in place as of March 2026. Thailand’s February 2026 election victory by nationalists advocating stronger frontier security measures has added pressure, including proposals for physical barriers, while Cambodia continues to allege encroachments and troop movements. Ongoing displacement of over 36,000 people and mutual accusations over landmines and fortifications sustain uncertainty, though neither side has signaled intent to resume strikes. Scheduled ASEAN and bilateral talks could influence the trajectory of these disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
Открытие рынка: Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
Объем
$70,940Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border stem from 2025 clashes that killed over 140 people and displaced hundreds of thousands before a December 27 ceasefire. Both nations have since reaffirmed commitments to de-escalation through diplomatic channels, yet border crossings remain closed with travel advisories in place as of March 2026. Thailand’s February 2026 election victory by nationalists advocating stronger frontier security measures has added pressure, including proposals for physical barriers, while Cambodia continues to allege encroachments and troop movements. Ongoing displacement of over 36,000 people and mutual accusations over landmines and fortifications sustain uncertainty, though neither side has signaled intent to resume strikes. Scheduled ASEAN and bilateral talks could influence the trajectory of these disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
Объем
$70,940Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border stem from 2025 clashes that killed over 140 people and displaced hundreds of thousands before a December 27 ceasefire. Both nations have since reaffirmed commitments to de-escalation through diplomatic channels, yet border crossings remain closed with travel advisories in place as of March 2026. Thailand’s February 2026 election victory by nationalists advocating stronger frontier security measures has added pressure, including proposals for physical barriers, while Cambodia continues to allege encroachments and troop movements. Ongoing displacement of over 36,000 people and mutual accusations over landmines and fortifications sustain uncertainty, though neither side has signaled intent to resume strikes. Scheduled ASEAN and bilateral talks could influence the trajectory of these disputes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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