Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. The seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Pfluger advanced through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Reynolds secured the Democratic nomination after prevailing in her primary contest. Limited recent campaign activity or polling shifts have reinforced expectations of continuity in this safely held district. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district make such outcomes improbable without major unforeseen developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-11 House Election Winner
TX-11 House Election Winner
$26,369 Объем
$26,369 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$26,369 Объем
$26,369 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Republican Party
$6,723 Объем
94%
Democratic Party
$19,646 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. The seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Pfluger advanced through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Reynolds secured the Democratic nomination after prevailing in her primary contest. Limited recent campaign activity or polling shifts have reinforced expectations of continuity in this safely held district. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district make such outcomes improbable without major unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$26,369Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. The seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Pfluger advanced through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Reynolds secured the Democratic nomination after prevailing in her primary contest. Limited recent campaign activity or polling shifts have reinforced expectations of continuity in this safely held district. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district make such outcomes improbable without major unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,369Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. The seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Pfluger advanced through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Reynolds secured the Democratic nomination after prevailing in her primary contest. Limited recent campaign activity or polling shifts have reinforced expectations of continuity in this safely held district. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district make such outcomes improbable without major unforeseen developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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