Incumbent Rep. August Pfluger's unopposed victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Texas's 11th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026. The district's deep-red partisan lean—rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—and Pfluger's history of 30-plus-point margins reflect the skin-in-the-game assessment of low upset risk against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds. Recent Texas redistricting, upheld by the Supreme Court in April, preserved TX-11's GOP stronghold status amid energy-rich West Texas voter priorities. While no polls exist, scenarios like a Pfluger scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though such barriers remain high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$23,602 Объем
$23,602 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
7%
$23,602 Объем
$23,602 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$5,849 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$17,752 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. August Pfluger's unopposed victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Texas's 11th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026. The district's deep-red partisan lean—rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—and Pfluger's history of 30-plus-point margins reflect the skin-in-the-game assessment of low upset risk against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds. Recent Texas redistricting, upheld by the Supreme Court in April, preserved TX-11's GOP stronghold status amid energy-rich West Texas voter priorities. While no polls exist, scenarios like a Pfluger scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though such barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$23,602Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. August Pfluger's unopposed victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Texas's 11th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026. The district's deep-red partisan lean—rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—and Pfluger's history of 30-plus-point margins reflect the skin-in-the-game assessment of low upset risk against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds. Recent Texas redistricting, upheld by the Supreme Court in April, preserved TX-11's GOP stronghold status amid energy-rich West Texas voter priorities. While no polls exist, scenarios like a Pfluger scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though such barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$23,602Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. August Pfluger's unopposed victory in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5% to win Texas's 11th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026. The district's deep-red partisan lean—rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—and Pfluger's history of 30-plus-point margins reflect the skin-in-the-game assessment of low upset risk against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds. Recent Texas redistricting, upheld by the Supreme Court in April, preserved TX-11's GOP stronghold status amid energy-rich West Texas voter priorities. While no polls exist, scenarios like a Pfluger scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though such barriers remain high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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