Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s sustained high popularity as Vermont’s governor continues to anchor trader consensus around an 80 percent chance of a Republican victory in the 2026 election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting Scott’s record margins and status as the nation’s most popular governor in recent national polling. Vermont voters in University of New Hampshire surveys express majority support for his re-election bid despite the state’s Democratic lean, while Democratic primary contenders such as Aly Richards face an uphill path in a contest not scheduled until August 2026. No major shifts in the race have emerged in recent weeks, leaving Scott’s incumbency and moderate appeal as the dominant factors shaping current market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Вермонта
Победитель выборов губернатора Вермонта
$20,896 Объем
$20,896 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
80%
Демократ
19%
$20,896 Объем
$20,896 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$12,288 Объем
80%
Демократ
$8,608 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s sustained high popularity as Vermont’s governor continues to anchor trader consensus around an 80 percent chance of a Republican victory in the 2026 election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting Scott’s record margins and status as the nation’s most popular governor in recent national polling. Vermont voters in University of New Hampshire surveys express majority support for his re-election bid despite the state’s Democratic lean, while Democratic primary contenders such as Aly Richards face an uphill path in a contest not scheduled until August 2026. No major shifts in the race have emerged in recent weeks, leaving Scott’s incumbency and moderate appeal as the dominant factors shaping current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$20,896Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s sustained high popularity as Vermont’s governor continues to anchor trader consensus around an 80 percent chance of a Republican victory in the 2026 election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting Scott’s record margins and status as the nation’s most popular governor in recent national polling. Vermont voters in University of New Hampshire surveys express majority support for his re-election bid despite the state’s Democratic lean, while Democratic primary contenders such as Aly Richards face an uphill path in a contest not scheduled until August 2026. No major shifts in the race have emerged in recent weeks, leaving Scott’s incumbency and moderate appeal as the dominant factors shaping current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$20,896Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s sustained high popularity as Vermont’s governor continues to anchor trader consensus around an 80 percent chance of a Republican victory in the 2026 election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting Scott’s record margins and status as the nation’s most popular governor in recent national polling. Vermont voters in University of New Hampshire surveys express majority support for his re-election bid despite the state’s Democratic lean, while Democratic primary contenders such as Aly Richards face an uphill path in a contest not scheduled until August 2026. No major shifts in the race have emerged in recent weeks, leaving Scott’s incumbency and moderate appeal as the dominant factors shaping current market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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