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Политика·Первичные

Основные победители WA-05

icon for Основные победители WA-05
Политика·Первичные

Основные победители WA-05

$11,931 Объем

4 авг. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$11,931 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Кайл Урси

Кайл Урси

$957 Объем

Нет

icon for Дэвид Вомак

Дэвид Вомак

$417 Объем

Нет

icon for Майкл Баумгартнер

Майкл Баумгартнер

$1,393 Объем

Да

icon for Энн Мари Данимус

Энн Мари Данимус

$561 Объем

Нет

icon for Эндрю Бартлсон

Эндрю Бартлсон

$826 Объем

Нет

icon for Кармела Конрой

Кармела Конрой

$2,914 Объем

Да

icon for Кевин Фэйган

Кевин Фэйган

$430 Объем

Нет

icon for Мэтью Хейз

Мэтью Хейз

$1,296 Объем

Нет

icon for Баджун Мавалвалла

Баджун Мавалвалла

$358 Объем

Нет

icon for Нэйт Пауэлл

Нэйт Пауэлл

$2,779 Объем

Нет

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 5th congressional district held its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the filing deadline having passed in May. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner captured roughly 47 percent of the vote and advanced, joined by Democrat Carmela Conroy at approximately 21 percent. Independent Nate Powell finished third near 15 percent, while remaining Democratic and other candidates trailed further behind. These results set the general election matchup for November 3. Trader positioning in the primary-winner market reflects the consolidated support for the top two finishers under Washington's nonpartisan primary rules, alongside any remaining uncertainty around final certified tallies or write-in impacts.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$11,931
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 5th congressional district held its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the filing deadline having passed in May. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner captured roughly 47 percent of the vote and advanced, joined by Democrat Carmela Conroy at approximately 21 percent. Independent Nate Powell finished third near 15 percent, while remaining Democratic and other candidates trailed further behind. These results set the general election matchup for November 3. Trader positioning in the primary-winner market reflects the consolidated support for the top two finishers under Washington's nonpartisan primary rules, alongside any remaining uncertainty around final certified tallies or write-in impacts.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$11,931
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Связанные

icon for Получит ли Джон Браун наибольшее количество голосов на праймериз по округу WA-03?

Получит ли Джон Браун наибольшее количество голосов на праймериз по округу WA-03?

98%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу WA-05?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу WA-05?

78%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу WA-06?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу WA-06?

95%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Основные победители WA-05» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Майкл Баумгартнер» с 100%, за ним следует «Кармела Конрой» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Основные победители WA-05» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $11.9K с момента запуска рынка Jul 20, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Основные победители WA-05», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Основные победители WA-05» — «Майкл Баумгартнер» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Кармела Конрой» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Основные победители WA-05» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.