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Политика·Ближний Восток

Кто будет следующим премьер-министром Израиля после следующих выборов?

icon for Кто будет следующим премьер-министром Израиля после следующих выборов?
Политика·Ближний Восток

Кто будет следующим премьер-министром Израиля после следующих выборов?

Биньямин Нетаньяху 40%

Нафтали Беннет 39%

Гади Эйзенкот 12.3%

Авигдор Либерман 3.4%

Polymarket

$9,250,629 Объем

Биньямин Нетаньяху 40%

Нафтали Беннет 39%

Гади Эйзенкот 12.3%

Авигдор Либерман 3.4%

Polymarket

$9,250,629 Объем

Биньямин Нетаньяху

$751,858 Объем

40%

Нафтали Беннет

$1,243,952 Объем

39%

Гади Эйзенкот

$745,605 Объем

12%

Авигдор Либерман

$657,999 Объем

3%

Яир Лапид

$507,879 Объем

1%

Итамар Бен-Гвир

$333,679 Объем

1%

Исраэль Кац

$157,528 Объем

1%

Айелет Шакед

$536,870 Объем

<1%

Амир Охана

$336,928 Объем

<1%

Бени Ганц

$349,062 Объем

<1%

Йоси Коэн

$611,825 Объем

<1%

Ярив Левин

$467,063 Объем

<1%

Яир Голан

$485,521 Объем

<1%

Гидеон Саар

$724,839 Объем

<1%

Моше Фейглин

$518,621 Объем

<1%

Йоаз Хендель

$534,370 Объем

<1%

Нир Баркат

$287,050 Объем

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The formation of the Together alliance between former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid in late April has intensified competition for Israel's next Knesset elections, scheduled by October 2026, keeping implied probabilities for Benjamin Netanyahu and Bennett nearly even in trader assessments. Israel's proportional representation system requires post-election coalition negotiations to secure a 61-seat majority, with current polling showing fragmented support across Likud, the new Together list, and smaller parties including Shas, Religious Zionist, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Recent moves by Netanyahu's coalition to advance a bill dissolving parliament highlight internal pressures and the potential for early voting, while Bennett's leadership of the merged right-centrist bloc positions him to consolidate opposition votes. Factors such as ongoing security concerns, judicial matters, and coalition stability could shift sentiment ahead of the vote, with outcomes depending on turnout and alliance formations.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$9,250,629
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The formation of the Together alliance between former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid in late April has intensified competition for Israel's next Knesset elections, scheduled by October 2026, keeping implied probabilities for Benjamin Netanyahu and Bennett nearly even in trader assessments. Israel's proportional representation system requires post-election coalition negotiations to secure a 61-seat majority, with current polling showing fragmented support across Likud, the new Together list, and smaller parties including Shas, Religious Zionist, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Recent moves by Netanyahu's coalition to advance a bill dissolving parliament highlight internal pressures and the potential for early voting, while Bennett's leadership of the merged right-centrist bloc positions him to consolidate opposition votes. Factors such as ongoing security concerns, judicial matters, and coalition stability could shift sentiment ahead of the vote, with outcomes depending on turnout and alliance formations.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$9,250,629
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кто будет следующим премьер-министром Израиля после следующих выборов?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Биньямин Нетаньяху» с 40%, за ним следует «Нафтали Беннет» с 39%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 40¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кто будет следующим премьер-министром Израиля после следующих выборов?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $9.3 million с момента запуска рынка Nov 15, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Кто будет следующим премьер-министром Израиля после следующих выборов?», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кто будет следующим премьер-министром Израиля после следующих выборов?» — «Биньямин Нетаньяху» с 40%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Нафтали Беннет» с 39%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто будет следующим премьер-министром Израиля после следующих выборов?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.