Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 27°C (31% implied probability) for Chengdu on May 14, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com projecting daytime highs around 27–28°C amid overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Recent days featured warmer peaks near 29°C, including May 13's mostly cloudy 29°C, but an incoming low-pressure system introduces cloud cover and higher humidity, capping potential intensification. Key variables include cloud persistence—thicker overcast could drop to 26°C or below, while brief clearing might push toward 28–29°C—and official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport per China Meteorological Administration data. Resolution hinges on peak hourly readings tomorrow, with model ensembles showing divergence typical of spring frontal variability in the Sichuan Basin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 14?
27°C 27%
26°C 21%
28°C 16%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
$20,981 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,981 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
12%
24°C
7%
25°C
10%
26°C
21%
27°C
27%
28°C
16%
29°C
14%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 27%
26°C 21%
28°C 16%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
$20,981 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,981 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
$4,335 ปริมาณ
12%
24°C
$1,529 ปริมาณ
7%
25°C
$1,108 ปริมาณ
10%
26°C
$820 ปริมาณ
21%
27°C
$577 ปริมาณ
27%
28°C
$1,834 ปริมาณ
16%
29°C
$2,820 ปริมาณ
14%
30°C
$2,364 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$2,365 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$1,147 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$2,194 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 27°C (31% implied probability) for Chengdu on May 14, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com projecting daytime highs around 27–28°C amid overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Recent days featured warmer peaks near 29°C, including May 13's mostly cloudy 29°C, but an incoming low-pressure system introduces cloud cover and higher humidity, capping potential intensification. Key variables include cloud persistence—thicker overcast could drop to 26°C or below, while brief clearing might push toward 28–29°C—and official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport per China Meteorological Administration data. Resolution hinges on peak hourly readings tomorrow, with model ensembles showing divergence typical of spring frontal variability in the Sichuan Basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,981วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 27°C (31% implied probability) for Chengdu on May 14, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com projecting daytime highs around 27–28°C amid overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Recent days featured warmer peaks near 29°C, including May 13's mostly cloudy 29°C, but an incoming low-pressure system introduces cloud cover and higher humidity, capping potential intensification. Key variables include cloud persistence—thicker overcast could drop to 26°C or below, while brief clearing might push toward 28–29°C—and official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport per China Meteorological Administration data. Resolution hinges on peak hourly readings tomorrow, with model ensembles showing divergence typical of spring frontal variability in the Sichuan Basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,981วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 27°C (31% implied probability) for Chengdu on May 14, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com projecting daytime highs around 27–28°C amid overcast conditions that limit solar insolation. Recent days featured warmer peaks near 29°C, including May 13's mostly cloudy 29°C, but an incoming low-pressure system introduces cloud cover and higher humidity, capping potential intensification. Key variables include cloud persistence—thicker overcast could drop to 26°C or below, while brief clearing might push toward 28–29°C—and official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport per China Meteorological Administration data. Resolution hinges on peak hourly readings tomorrow, with model ensembles showing divergence typical of spring frontal variability in the Sichuan Basin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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