Latest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model ensembles project a maximum temperature of around 20-22°C for Madrid on May 14, aligning trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C at 26.5%. This consensus reflects a rebound from the recent cool spell, including 18.4°C max on May 12 at Retiro station and 19°C forecast for May 13, under northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing extremes. Mid-May climatology supports highs near 22°C on average, with model spreads of 20-24°C capturing inherent forecast uncertainty from variable mixing heights and frontal influences. Watch evening AEMET updates and Barajas Airport observations for resolution, as diel heating could tip toward 23°C (17%).
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
22°C 47%
21°C 26%
23°C 25%
20°C 8%
ใหม่
$17,539 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,539 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
26%
22°C
47%
23°C
25%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 47%
21°C 26%
23°C 25%
20°C 8%
ใหม่
$17,539 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,539 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
18°C or below
$2,951 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,890 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$2,423 ปริมาณ
8%
21°C
$1,850 ปริมาณ
26%
22°C
$1,418 ปริมาณ
47%
23°C
$1,262 ปริมาณ
25%
24°C
$2,047 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$1,322 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$443 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$886 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,067 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model ensembles project a maximum temperature of around 20-22°C for Madrid on May 14, aligning trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C at 26.5%. This consensus reflects a rebound from the recent cool spell, including 18.4°C max on May 12 at Retiro station and 19°C forecast for May 13, under northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing extremes. Mid-May climatology supports highs near 22°C on average, with model spreads of 20-24°C capturing inherent forecast uncertainty from variable mixing heights and frontal influences. Watch evening AEMET updates and Barajas Airport observations for resolution, as diel heating could tip toward 23°C (17%).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,539วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model ensembles project a maximum temperature of around 20-22°C for Madrid on May 14, aligning trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C at 26.5%. This consensus reflects a rebound from the recent cool spell, including 18.4°C max on May 12 at Retiro station and 19°C forecast for May 13, under northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing extremes. Mid-May climatology supports highs near 22°C on average, with model spreads of 20-24°C capturing inherent forecast uncertainty from variable mixing heights and frontal influences. Watch evening AEMET updates and Barajas Airport observations for resolution, as diel heating could tip toward 23°C (17%).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,539วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model ensembles project a maximum temperature of around 20-22°C for Madrid on May 14, aligning trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C at 26.5%. This consensus reflects a rebound from the recent cool spell, including 18.4°C max on May 12 at Retiro station and 19°C forecast for May 13, under northerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing extremes. Mid-May climatology supports highs near 22°C on average, with model spreads of 20-24°C capturing inherent forecast uncertainty from variable mixing heights and frontal influences. Watch evening AEMET updates and Barajas Airport observations for resolution, as diel heating could tip toward 23°C (17%).
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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