ARPA Lombardia's latest forecast bulletin highlights an incoming cold air mass and unstable weather pattern over northern Italy on May 14, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens Celsius highs in Milan, with 16°C and 17°C nearly tied at 32.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities. Prevalent cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible isolated thunderstorms from northern sectors will suppress peak heating, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles showing maxima clustering 15–18°C amid light easterly winds. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of diurnal maximum before any convective onset and Milan's urban heat island effect, which could nudge outcomes higher; final high-resolution updates expected overnight will refine this close contest before resolution via official observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 14?
17°C 37%
16°C 32%
18°C 18%
19°C 12.8%
ใหม่
$26,823 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$26,823 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
32%
17°C
37%
18°C
18%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 37%
16°C 32%
18°C 18%
19°C 12.8%
ใหม่
$26,823 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$26,823 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
10°C or below
$1,036 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$2,177 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$1,350 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$1,266 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$1,030 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$3,373 ปริมาณ
5%
16°C
$2,797 ปริมาณ
32%
17°C
$2,446 ปริมาณ
37%
18°C
$2,696 ปริมาณ
18%
19°C
$2,888 ปริมาณ
13%
20°C or higher
$5,781 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.ARPA Lombardia's latest forecast bulletin highlights an incoming cold air mass and unstable weather pattern over northern Italy on May 14, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens Celsius highs in Milan, with 16°C and 17°C nearly tied at 32.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities. Prevalent cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible isolated thunderstorms from northern sectors will suppress peak heating, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles showing maxima clustering 15–18°C amid light easterly winds. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of diurnal maximum before any convective onset and Milan's urban heat island effect, which could nudge outcomes higher; final high-resolution updates expected overnight will refine this close contest before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,823วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.ARPA Lombardia's latest forecast bulletin highlights an incoming cold air mass and unstable weather pattern over northern Italy on May 14, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens Celsius highs in Milan, with 16°C and 17°C nearly tied at 32.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities. Prevalent cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible isolated thunderstorms from northern sectors will suppress peak heating, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles showing maxima clustering 15–18°C amid light easterly winds. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of diurnal maximum before any convective onset and Milan's urban heat island effect, which could nudge outcomes higher; final high-resolution updates expected overnight will refine this close contest before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,823วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...ARPA Lombardia's latest forecast bulletin highlights an incoming cold air mass and unstable weather pattern over northern Italy on May 14, driving trader consensus toward mid-teens Celsius highs in Milan, with 16°C and 17°C nearly tied at 32.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities. Prevalent cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible isolated thunderstorms from northern sectors will suppress peak heating, as confirmed by ECMWF and GFS model ensembles showing maxima clustering 15–18°C amid light easterly winds. Differentiating factors include the precise timing of diurnal maximum before any convective onset and Milan's urban heat island effect, which could nudge outcomes higher; final high-resolution updates expected overnight will refine this close contest before resolution via official observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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