Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 25%
66-67°F 20%
60-61°F 15%
ใหม่
$32,639 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$32,639 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 25%
66-67°F 20%
60-61°F 15%
ใหม่
$32,639 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$32,639 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
57°F or below
$840 ปริมาณ
1%
58-59°F
$1,463 ปริมาณ
1%
60-61°F
$6,464 ปริมาณ
15%
62-63°F
$3,719 ปริมาณ
25%
64-65°F
$2,079 ปริมาณ
32%
66-67°F
$2,504 ปริมาณ
20%
68-69°F
$2,649 ปริมาณ
12%
70-71°F
$3,084 ปริมาณ
3%
72-73°F
$3,141 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$1,475 ปริมาณ
<1%
76°F or higher
$5,605 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,639วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,639วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 62-65°F highs at Central Park for May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering outcomes in the low-to-mid 60s amid a slow-moving frontal system ushering widespread clouds, showers, and northwest winds that cap diurnal heating. The edge to 64-65°F stems from recent high-resolution runs like HRRR emphasizing overcast skies limiting insolation while post-frontal mixing holds temperatures steady, versus 62-63°F gaining traction if thicker cloud decks or lingering precipitation suppress peaks further. Uncertainty persists in boundary stall timing and afternoon clearing potential, with fresh 00Z model updates overnight poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Typical May highs near 70°F provide climatological context for this subdued outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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