The Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 32°C in Tel Aviv on May 14 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model consensus clustering at 30–32°C; this strong alignment drives the market's 90.6% implied probability for 32°C or higher, bolstered by a recent unseasonal heatwave after May 12 peaks near 34°C and today's cooler 26–27°C readings. Above the May climatological average of 26°C, high-pressure persistence favors continued warmth, though inherent short-term forecast uncertainty remains. Realistic challenges include stronger sea breeze importing cooler marine air or increased low clouds, potentially limiting peaks to 31°C—watch overnight IMS updates and morning observations for shifts ahead of noon resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?
32°C or higher 91.5%
31°C 8.2%
30°C 1.8%
27°C <1%
ใหม่
$21,239 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,239 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
91%
32°C or higher 91.5%
31°C 8.2%
30°C 1.8%
27°C <1%
ใหม่
$21,239 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,239 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
22°C or below
$993 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$992 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,357 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$616 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$774 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,233 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$3,524 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$3,395 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$2,366 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$2,843 ปริมาณ
8%
32°C or higher
$2,145 ปริมาณ
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 32°C in Tel Aviv on May 14 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model consensus clustering at 30–32°C; this strong alignment drives the market's 90.6% implied probability for 32°C or higher, bolstered by a recent unseasonal heatwave after May 12 peaks near 34°C and today's cooler 26–27°C readings. Above the May climatological average of 26°C, high-pressure persistence favors continued warmth, though inherent short-term forecast uncertainty remains. Realistic challenges include stronger sea breeze importing cooler marine air or increased low clouds, potentially limiting peaks to 31°C—watch overnight IMS updates and morning observations for shifts ahead of noon resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,239วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 32°C in Tel Aviv on May 14 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model consensus clustering at 30–32°C; this strong alignment drives the market's 90.6% implied probability for 32°C or higher, bolstered by a recent unseasonal heatwave after May 12 peaks near 34°C and today's cooler 26–27°C readings. Above the May climatological average of 26°C, high-pressure persistence favors continued warmth, though inherent short-term forecast uncertainty remains. Realistic challenges include stronger sea breeze importing cooler marine air or increased low clouds, potentially limiting peaks to 31°C—watch overnight IMS updates and morning observations for shifts ahead of noon resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,239วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 32°C in Tel Aviv on May 14 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS model consensus clustering at 30–32°C; this strong alignment drives the market's 90.6% implied probability for 32°C or higher, bolstered by a recent unseasonal heatwave after May 12 peaks near 34°C and today's cooler 26–27°C readings. Above the May climatological average of 26°C, high-pressure persistence favors continued warmth, though inherent short-term forecast uncertainty remains. Realistic challenges include stronger sea breeze importing cooler marine air or increased low clouds, potentially limiting peaks to 31°C—watch overnight IMS updates and morning observations for shifts ahead of noon resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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