Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hawkish dissent by Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan underscore persistent divisions over the federal funds rate path amid July PCE inflation holding near 3.7% year-over-year and core measures steady at 3.3%. Traders price the September 15-16 meeting around these dynamics, with the 28.5% implied probability for exactly three dissents reflecting the core hawkish bloc's likely repeat stance while softening July payrolls and mixed upcoming CPI and employment releases create uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents join them. The tight spread between two- and three-dissent outcomes highlights the data-dependent threshold for broader participation, whereas four-plus dissents would require stronger-than-expected inflation or energy-price reacceleration to expand the hawkish coalition before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
0
13%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4+
20%
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
0
$1,811 ปริมาณ
13%
1
$252 ปริมาณ
16%
2
$253 ปริมาณ
18%
3
$2,025 ปริมาณ
29%
4+
$262 ปริมาณ
20%
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hawkish dissent by Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan underscore persistent divisions over the federal funds rate path amid July PCE inflation holding near 3.7% year-over-year and core measures steady at 3.3%. Traders price the September 15-16 meeting around these dynamics, with the 28.5% implied probability for exactly three dissents reflecting the core hawkish bloc's likely repeat stance while softening July payrolls and mixed upcoming CPI and employment releases create uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents join them. The tight spread between two- and three-dissent outcomes highlights the data-dependent threshold for broader participation, whereas four-plus dissents would require stronger-than-expected inflation or energy-price reacceleration to expand the hawkish coalition before resolution.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,602วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hawkish dissent by Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan underscore persistent divisions over the federal funds rate path amid July PCE inflation holding near 3.7% year-over-year and core measures steady at 3.3%. Traders price the September 15-16 meeting around these dynamics, with the 28.5% implied probability for exactly three dissents reflecting the core hawkish bloc's likely repeat stance while softening July payrolls and mixed upcoming CPI and employment releases create uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents join them. The tight spread between two- and three-dissent outcomes highlights the data-dependent threshold for broader participation, whereas four-plus dissents would require stronger-than-expected inflation or energy-price reacceleration to expand the hawkish coalition before resolution.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,602วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hawkish dissent by Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan underscore persistent divisions over the federal funds rate path amid July PCE inflation holding near 3.7% year-over-year and core measures steady at 3.3%. Traders price the September 15-16 meeting around these dynamics, with the 28.5% implied probability for exactly three dissents reflecting the core hawkish bloc's likely repeat stance while softening July payrolls and mixed upcoming CPI and employment releases create uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents join them. The tight spread between two- and three-dissent outcomes highlights the data-dependent threshold for broader participation, whereas four-plus dissents would require stronger-than-expected inflation or energy-price reacceleration to expand the hawkish coalition before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย