Forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and AccuWeather place the June 14 minimum near 26–28°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures and a lack of strong frontal systems or clear skies keep the floor elevated, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. Recent model runs show little downward revision, while historical June lows average around 27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that values below 27°C remain low-probability outliers absent an unexpected cold surge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
27°C 68%
28°C 35.1%
26°C 17.5%
25°C 2.5%
$31,628 ปริมาณ
$31,628 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
75%
28°C
35%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 68%
28°C 35.1%
26°C 17.5%
25°C 2.5%
$31,628 ปริมาณ
$31,628 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
22°C or below
$1,291 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,905 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$2,950 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$3,330 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$4,321 ปริมาณ
18%
27°C
$2,641 ปริมาณ
75%
28°C
$8,357 ปริมาณ
35%
29°C
$6,708 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$505 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$462 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,755 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and AccuWeather place the June 14 minimum near 26–28°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures and a lack of strong frontal systems or clear skies keep the floor elevated, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. Recent model runs show little downward revision, while historical June lows average around 27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that values below 27°C remain low-probability outliers absent an unexpected cold surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,628วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and AccuWeather place the June 14 minimum near 26–28°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures and a lack of strong frontal systems or clear skies keep the floor elevated, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. Recent model runs show little downward revision, while historical June lows average around 27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that values below 27°C remain low-probability outliers absent an unexpected cold surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,628วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and AccuWeather place the June 14 minimum near 26–28°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Above-normal seasonal temperatures and a lack of strong frontal systems or clear skies keep the floor elevated, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. Recent model runs show little downward revision, while historical June lows average around 27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that values below 27°C remain low-probability outliers absent an unexpected cold surge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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